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4

Mar 2026

1月，韩国工业产出下降1.9%，未达到预测的0.5%增长预期

韩国1月工业产出意外下滑1.9%，远逊预期+0.5%，警示制造业转弱。韩元或续贬，KOSPI承压；半导体放缓加剧，波动或上升，可布局做空与期权策略。

4

Mar 2026

美元/日元持续上涨，逼近157.60，中东紧张局势加剧且日元维持疲软

美元/日元逼近157.60续涨：中东局势推升油价拖累日元。日本暗示或干预、央行偏鹰但时点未明；美联储纪要偏紧与避险美元支撑，关注158.50阻力。

4

Mar 2026

德国商业银行的福尔克马·鲍尔称，中国两会将设定宏观目标并公布2030年规划，影响人民币

两会定调增长约5%与债务去风险，新五年规划延至2030牵动汇率。人民币国际化促稳7.20，但隐性杠杆或引爆股市波动，需防护策略。

4

Mar 2026

根据2月数据发布，美国汽车总销量达到1580万辆，超过预期的1520万辆

2月美国汽车销量1580万辆，超预期60万：消费者韧性惊人！降息或更晚，利率高位更久；车企、供应链与相关期权/ETF或迎上行。

4

Mar 2026

大华银行经济学家表示，印尼2月通胀升至4.76%，受基数效应、黄金、食品以及油价风险推动

印尼2月CPI飙至4.76%超央行目标，主因电价基数、金价及斋月食品需求，或属短期。真正风险在油价推升IDR波动，可关注USD/IDR期权。

4

Mar 2026

新西兰第四季度贸易条件指数上涨3.7%，好于预期的0.7%下降

爆冷！新西兰Q4贸易条件指数劲升3.7%，远超预期下跌0.7%；出口相对更值钱、进口更划算，利好纽元并压低降息预期，乳制品回升或推升波动与策略机会。

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