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4

Mar 2026

纽元/美元升至约0.5920，上涨0.45%，此前美元在连续两个强劲交易日后走软

纽美反弹0.45%至0.5920，因美元回落与美股期货转暖。中东冲突升级推升避险与波动率，NFP前宜用跨式期权布局，防美元再强。

4

Mar 2026

美联储理事史蒂芬·米兰对彭博电视表示：油价对核心通胀的影响似乎有限；伊朗冲突影响尚不确定

伊朗冲突影响经济言之尚早，美联储理事米兰称油价难推高核心通胀；劳市两年走弱支撑持续降息。市场押注3月降25bp，波动偏低利好交易。

4

Mar 2026

德意志银行分析师称，能源价格飙升可能阻碍英国央行降息，使英国通胀前景更加不明朗

油价一周飙近15%、现货气涨70%：德银警告英国去通胀或停摆。能源冲击与二轮效应推高工资、服务、账单，牵制英央行降息节奏。

4

Mar 2026

美元/瑞郎小幅走低，因美元自近期高位回落，交易员权衡瑞士通胀与瑞士央行警告

美元回落拖累USD/CHF跌回0.7800：瑞士通胀温和、SNB偏鸽且或干预压制瑞郎；美经济与高利差支撑美元。期权策略偏多，但警惕议息波动。

4

Mar 2026

加拿大第四季度劳动生产率环比下降0.1%，符合市场预期，未出现意外偏离

加拿大Q4劳动生产率意外走弱：环比-0.1%符合预期，强化经济疲态。BoC更难加息，降息预期升温；对加元与加股偏空，看多USD/CAD。

4

Mar 2026

据ADP数据显示，2月美国私营部门就业人数增加6.3万人；薪资同比增长4.5%，超出预期

ADP显示2月私营就业增6.3万超预期，薪增4.5%但跳槽溢价创新低；美元指数跌0.3%。非农与议息将至，中东冲突推油价、避险升温。

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