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5

Mar 2026

XAG/USD维持在84.00美元上方的涨幅，但动能不足，仍处于区间震荡，且略显脆弱

白银连涨守住84却缺乏追涨，短线仍偏弱盘整。阻力85/86.2/88，支撑83.5/82/80.95。期权策略：区间卖虚值call，跌破82则买put。

5

Mar 2026

由于中东战争导致霍尔木兹海峡运输受扰推升原油价格，WTI徘徊在75美元附近，连续三日上涨势头延续

中东冲突推升WTI至74.8美元，霍尔木兹与航运受扰、伊拉克或大幅减产，供应风险升温。OVX偏低、SPR低位，油价或再冲100，期权布局正当时。

5

Mar 2026

在中东冲突升级之际，避险需求推升美元，欧元/美元回落至1.1635附近

中东冲突推升避险需求，欧元/美元跌破1.1650；市场紧盯欧零售与美初请。波动率低、期权便宜：用看跌或熊市价差提前“买保险”。

5

Mar 2026

根据最新发布的数据，澳大利亚月度出口下降0.9%，逆转此前1%的增长

澳洲1月出口转跌0.9%引爆警报：中国PMI跌破50拖累需求，澳元与ASX200承压。可用AUD/USD看跌期权、做空指数/铁矿石期货对冲，把损失锁定在权利金。

5

Mar 2026

外国投资者将日本股票购买额提高至9739亿日元，高于2月下旬的4020亿日元

外资净买入日本股市爆发：单周从4020亿升至9739亿日元，增5719亿。日经破41000或冲42500；日元仍偏弱、波动升温，期权与板块ETF或成机会。

5

Mar 2026

在增长预期被下调之际，英镑/美元在清淡交投中保持稳定，小幅上涨0.08%至约1.3370

英镑/美元跌破关键200日均线1.3375，确认偏空！英国OBR下调增长预期，能源冲击削弱降息预期；美元获避险支撑，关注美非农与零售数据。

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