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6

Mar 2026

荷兰合作银行的简·福利表示，因市场对英格兰银行降息的预期大幅减弱，英镑近期跑赢其他G10货币。

英镑近周领跑G10：市场下调英国央行降息预期，通胀黏性叠加天然气上涨推迟宽松。但高利率压制增长，波动或放大；可用跨式期权、SONIA与GBP/EUR看跌对冲。

6

Mar 2026

强于预期的美国数据提振美元，推动XAG/USD下跌至82.20美元附近，跌幅1.18%

白银跌至82.20美元，强劲美国数据推升美元压价，降息预期后移。后续盯非农零售；期权卖虚值看涨更稳？金银比88暗示低估与配对机会。

6

Mar 2026

在伊朗紧张局势升级之际，道指暴跌840点，标普500和纳斯达克也回落

伊朗油轮爆炸传闻引发恐慌，美股重挫：道指跌840点；油价飙升推升利率预期。博通绩优逆涨，黄金比特币走强，资金急转避险。

6

Mar 2026

美国四周期国库券拍卖收益率为3.64%，较此前的3.625%略有上升

4周美债拍卖收益率升至3.64%，较前值3.625%上行0.015个百分点；通胀仍顽固在3.2%，市场押注美联储更鹰，4月加息概率升至35%。

5

Mar 2026

在中东紧张局势和强劲的美国就业数据影响下，英镑/美元下跌，英镑对美元走弱

英镑兑美元周四跌至1.3337，受中东紧张与美非农前数据韧性压制。但美就业降温、英工资强推升看涨期权与波动率，对冲需求走高。

5

Mar 2026

丰业银行策略师称，美国市场正等待将影响美联储前景的数据，以迎接3月FOMC会议

重磅数据将揭晓：就业与通胀偏强压制降息，美联储静默期放大不确定。市场已把首降推迟至7月后，利率期权与曲线套利成新焦点。

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