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6

Mar 2026

2月，美国平均每周工时符合预期，劳动者录得34.3小时

美国2月平均每周工时34.3小时符合预期，削减不确定性。就业不热、通胀压力有限，Fed更可能按兵不动；VIX偏低利率波动受控，期权卖权利金与区间策略受捧。

6

Mar 2026

美国2月平均时薪按月增长0.4%，高于预估的0.3%

美国2月时薪月增0.4%超预期，通胀顽固令美联储降息更难；利率期货下调6月概率至35%，科技股承压、波动或升，美元或转强。

6

Mar 2026

2月，美国U6就业不足率从此前的8%降至-6%

美国2月U6广义失业率竟跌至-6%创纪录，劳动力异常紧俏恐引薪资通胀。美联储或更激进加息：利率飙、美元走强、股市承压，慎防政策失误致衰退。

6

Mar 2026

美国零售销售按月下滑0.2%，1月跌幅优于预期的0.3%

美国1月零售仅跌0.2%优于预期，但消费降温仍在；叠加通胀黏性，美联储或按兵不动、降息延后。VIX回升，关注波动策略与可选消费对冲。

6

Mar 2026

地缘政治紧张局势下，美元走强推动纽元/美元下跌至0.5870，跌幅0.54%

纽元兑美元跌至0.5870，美元避险走强、非农前观望夹击；RBNZ偏宽松与油价飙升推升进口成本。期权交易者关注卖波动与区间策略机会。

6

Mar 2026

德国商业银行分析师称，伊朗冲突与霍尔木兹海峡中断风险收紧油市，扩大布伦特—WTI价差及期限价差

伊朗战事扰乱霍尔木兹海峡运输，供给风险推升油价20%、布伦特溢价与时间价差扩大。关注IEA/EIA/OPEC库存报告与美方SPR干预；交易策略偏价差与期权控风险。

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