Live Updates

6

Mar 2026

ING经济学家预计日本2025年第四季度GDP终值将上修，因冬季奖金增长、通胀降温缓解工资压力

日本Q4 GDP料上修至0.3%，薪资回暖、PPI稳2.2%，逼BOJ 3月偏鹰；日圆或迎转折。策略：买JPY call/ USD put，配日经225 put对冲出口股冲击。

6

Mar 2026

欧洲央行决策者伊莎贝尔·施纳贝尔称，尽管伊朗战争加剧通胀上行压力，央行立场仍处于有利位置

伊朗战争推升油价与航运成本，施纳贝尔警告欧元区通胀上行，ECB降息或更犹豫。交易员宜押“利率高更久”、布局波动对冲及欧元走强机会。

6

Mar 2026

纽元收窄早前跌幅，守在0.5874的200日均线之上，逼近0.5900持平水平

纽纽守住200日均线0.5874，0.5900下方震荡、RSI偏空；上破看0.5955-0.6000，跌破或探0.5817/0.5800。期权可买Put押0.5700或做熊市价差，留意隐波变化。

6

Mar 2026

贝克休斯报告称，美国石油钻机数量从上期的407座增至411座

油市新变量：美国活跃石油钻井平台连四周增至411座，增产预期升温压制中期油价；虽有OPEC+延长减产托市，但需求偏弱下波动料加剧。

6

Mar 2026

米兰表示，美联储通常不会理会油价波动，并对解读单月就业数据保持谨慎

别只看一份就业报告！Fed理事米兰称政策“校准不当”、现过度紧缩，立场更偏鸽；指美联储不太理油价、租金无通胀压力，中性利率约2.5%至2.75%。

6

Mar 2026

荷兰银行预测中国2月CPI同比升至接近1%，受农历新年消费效应带动

抓紧这波通胀回暖？ABN AMRO 料中国2月CPI升至约1%、PPI跌幅收窄，出口进口转强；AI周期提振情绪，可关注A50看涨与铜期货，人民币更稳。

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