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7

Mar 2026

美国商品期货交易委员会（CFTC）报告：标普500非商业净持仓改善至-16.82万，前值为-19.35万

CFTC：标普500净持仓升至-16.82万手，空头回补加速。核心CPI仅2.8%压低加息预期，VIX回落期权更便宜；考虑减少长Put，转卖现金担保Put或牛市价差。

7

Mar 2026

UOB詹斯特·高：若中东冲突冲击短暂，新加坡GDP料仅轻微受影响

中东冲突若仅短暂，新加坡GDP冲击有限；UOB维持2026增3.6%。但油价与供应链扰动或推高通胀，布油每涨10美元核心通胀多30-40bps，MAS或更趋收紧。

7

Mar 2026

日本CFTC日元非商业净持仓跌至-1.66万份合约，逆转此前11.5千份水平

日元投机仓位惊变！CFTC 显示非商业净持仓从11.5K翻至-16.6K，转为净空，利差与日央宽松成压，资金或押注USD/JPY续走高。

7

Mar 2026

美国CFTC黄金非商业净持仓升至16.01万手，前值15.92万手

黄金多头回来了？CFTC显示非商业净多头升至16.01万手，通胀超预期、降息或推迟助力避险需求，但DXY坚挺或压制金价，宜用看涨期权控风险布局。

7

Mar 2026

美国CFTC数据显示：原油非商业净持仓从前值172.7K回落至172.2K

CFTC原油投机净多降至172.2K，资金“按暂停键”。叠加美油库存意外增、通胀偏高与地缘溢价回落，油价或转入盘整；关注160K失守信号。

7

Mar 2026

欧元区CFTC数据显示：非商业欧元净持仓从156.9K降至136.5K

CFTC显示欧元投机净多头降至13.65万手，单周减2.04万；通胀偏软+美非农强，政策分化令欧元上行动能降温，回撤风险升温，宜降仓或买Put对冲。

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