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9

Mar 2026

斯塔默称中东冲突若长期化恐加剧经济冲击，政府正与合作伙伴磋商以缓解影响

中东战火或拖累经济？英相斯塔默警告冲突越久冲击越大；英政府与盟友商讨降风险，财长每日联络英伦银行预判能源价，并力促伊朗局势降温。

9

Mar 2026

德意志银行经济学家桑杰·拉贾评估英国央行与英国政府对不同能源冲击情景的应对措施

油价飙升、英国通胀回升，德银推演英央行与政府三剧本：最快4-6月起两次降息至3.25%；若危机拖延，燃油税支援扩大，降息或延至2026年Q4。

9

Mar 2026

3月欧元区Sentix投资者信心降至-3.1，逆转2月的4.2读数

Sentix欧元区投资者信心3月骤降至-3.1，因伊朗战事与能源冲击引发避险。欧元走弱、波动或升温；ECB降息更难，德制造业数据成关键。

9

Mar 2026

欧元区Sentix投资者信心指数3月跌至-3.1，逆转前值4.2

欧元区Sentix 3月骤跌至-3.1，五个月来首度转负！警惕欧洲股市与欧元走弱、波动升温；可用EURO STOXX 50 put、做空EUR/USD、买VSTOXX call及做多德债避险。

9

Mar 2026

中东冲突推升油价支撑美元，高收益新兴市场货币承压

中东冲突推升油价与美债收益率，美元指数逼近100上缘；降息预期被延后，美元尤其压制南非兰特、匈牙利福林。套息交易恶化、平仓潮起，波动率恐飙。

9

Mar 2026

中东战争风险升温拖累标普500指数下挫，低开后延续自1月高点以来的跌势

标普500自1月高点回落超8%，跳空下破或处第五浪，目标6,370-6,500；VIX破25、地缘与通胀施压。唯有收盘站上6,772才翻多。

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