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11

Mar 2026

德国2月月度消费者价格指数（CPI）符合预期，按月上升0.2%

德国2月CPI环比升0.2%符合预期！通胀可控或压低欧股隐含波动率，利好卖短期期权与DAX备兑；ECB料按兵不动，美欧政策分歧或拖累欧元。

11

Mar 2026

2月德国协调消费者价格指数环比上涨0.4%，符合市场预期

德国2月HICP环比升0.4%符合预期，通胀悬念解除。欧股隐含波动或回落，减持做多波动。ECB料续谨慎降息；DAX卖权利金、备兑与牛市价差可把握时间价值。

11

Mar 2026

金价在欧洲早盘回落至5,200美元下方，仍接近周内高位；美国CPI关注焦点转移下获支撑

黄金欧市跌破5,200美元，美元反弹施压；但油价回落与降息预期限制跌幅。战局、IEA释储传闻及今晚美国CPI成关键催化剂。技术阻力5,228/5,260，支撑5,190/5,160/5,140。

11

Mar 2026

RBC经济研究预计：尽管油供应中断及地缘政治冲击升温，加拿大央行利率将维持不变直至2026年

油价因地缘供应中断飙升，RBC指属短期冲击，难撼BoC利率路径，料按兵不动至2026年。利率波动或回落，卖波动率、做空跨式受益；加元未必跟油强。

11

Mar 2026

澳元/美元升至接近0.7170，因市场预期澳洲联储立场鹰派而逼近三年高位

澳元兑美元升至0.7170逼近三年高位，市场押注RBA偏鹰、下周加息25基点概率75%。技术面偏多；关注0.7120支撑、0.7240阻力。油价与铁矿石亦左右走势。

11

Mar 2026

德国商业银行称，因霍尔木兹海峡关闭迫使中东产油国减产670万桶/日，布伦特与WTI油价剧烈波动

霍尔木兹海峡近乎关闭引爆油价过山车：布伦特单日81–95美元震荡。中东减产670万桶/日，G7促IEA备战释储。高波动下，期权与垂直价差成关键对冲工具。

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