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11

Mar 2026

道明证券报告：2月美国CPI符合预期，核心与“超级核心”通胀较1月关税冲击降温

美国2月CPI符预期，核心与“超级核心”通胀明显降温；关税转嫁压力减弱。展望3月，油价推升能源通胀，同比或近3%，10年美债收益率料4.0%–4.3%震荡。

11

Mar 2026

美国能源信息署（EIA）报告称，3月初原油库存增加382.4万桶，高于预期的110万桶

EIA爆冷：美国原油库存猛增382.4万桶，远超预期110万桶。高产量+炼厂检修+汽油需求降，压制WTI与布伦特；看跌策略与跨期价差更受捧。

11

Mar 2026

在接近24,300遭拒后，Nifty触发艾略特波浪破位，按预测下跌约400点

Nifty冲不过24,300即急挫400点至23,900附近，符合艾略特波浪反转预期。VIX飙升推高期权成本，外资连5日净卖出；关注23,500支撑与到期波动。

11

Mar 2026

荷兰合作银行称，WTI油价自120美元峰值回落，但受海湾地区减产及改道运力受限支撑仍保持坚挺

WTI自120美元回落但供应仍紧：霍尔木兹关闭滞留1400万桶/日，改道后仍缺750万桶/日。G7+中国释1亿桶压抑涨幅，油价料回80美元区间，波动高。

11

Mar 2026

特朗普告诉 Axios，美伊战争应很快结束，因伊朗剩余目标不多

特朗普称美伊战争将迅速收尾、伊朗“几无目标”，地缘溢价或再退潮：油价风险回落、VIX续低位；可用看涨期权押基本面反弹，并警惕国防股短炒见顶。

11

Mar 2026

荷兰银行经济学家称，伊朗因素推升油气价格将对欧元区增长造成的拖累大于美国

伊朗冲突推高油气价，欧元区因能源净进口、收入与信心更弱，受拖累大于美国。通胀风险成焦点，ECB或“保险式”加息，欧元与利率衍生品或现意外机会。

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