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11

Mar 2026

英镑在1.34附近持稳：油价波动与美国通胀推升美元，但英镑兑美元仍保持稳定

中东冲突与油价震荡下，英镑仍稳守1.34展抗跌。英国薪资超预期或令英央行慢降息，利差收窄支撑；做空风险高，期权看涨价差更划算。

11

Mar 2026

中东紧张局势升级之际，投资者避险情绪升温令纽元承压，纽元/美元徘徊在0.5910附近

中东冲突升温触发risk-off，纽美跌至0.5910；油价波动推高通胀忧虑与RBNZ加息押注。美CPI偏强+Fed按兵不动支撑美元，隐波升破11%预示更大行情。

11

Mar 2026

英镑兑美元维持在1.3400附近，尽管油市动荡且美国通胀压力加剧

中东战事拖累风险情绪，油价冲击成最大变数：英镑兑美元徘徊1.34。美国CPI稳、降息预期降温撑美元；英受能源通胀风险，汇价偏弱或试1.33。

11

Mar 2026

欧洲央行施纳贝尔促保持警惕防通胀上行，关注欧洲持续能源价格冲击带来的持久压力

欧洲央行施纳贝尔警告：能源冲击或拖长、通胀上行风险未除，3月预测纳入“伊朗冲击”。市场夏季降息押注或重定价，波动升温；更鹰派立场或支撑欧元。

11

Mar 2026

马克龙称法国或将推出更多油价应对措施，敦促盟友明确对伊朗战争目标

油价要大震荡？马克龙吁限制出口禁令、护航霍尔木兹需数周，释放1450万桶储备仅短效；伊朗战事与俄制裁叠加、OPEC闲置产能低，期权策略成焦点。

11

Mar 2026

德国商业银行（Commerzbank）塔塔·戈什：匈牙利核心通胀降温支撑匈牙利央行（MNB）鸽派立场，有利于降息与福林走势

匈牙利核心通胀回到央行目标区间，通胀回落更广更稳，强化MNB降息与偏鸽立场。市场焦点转向全球风险与ECB，福林韧性仍强，难现大贬。

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