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12

Mar 2026

银价跌破84美元后反弹，但在约86.15美元附近、100小时EMA下方受阻

银价跌破84美元后反弹乏力，现徘徊85美元下方、日内跌0.4%。受制100小时EMA 86.15，RSI 43偏弱；关注支撑85.30/84.85，阻力86.15/87.20。

12

Mar 2026

在中东紧张局势升级之际，美元指数徘徊在99.35附近，略高于99.00

中东冲突升级、霍尔木兹风险升温，美元指数站上99.35。美国CPI符合预期，市场押注联储3月按兵不动。关注原油、VIX波动，灵活用期权对冲。

12

Mar 2026

中国央行将美元兑人民币中间价定在6.8959，高于前值6.8917，也高于路透调查预估的6.8853

中间价意外偏弱至6.8959，较路透估算更软，央行容忍人民币走低信号明确。出口仅增2.3%添压，USD/CNY上行与期权波动交易机会升温。

12

Mar 2026

巴林穆哈拉格燃油储罐遇袭后，阿曼出于预防措施从米纳阿尔法赫尔石油码头撤离船只

无人机袭击引爆海湾供应警报：阿曼下令船只撤离日处理100万桶出口码头，巴林油罐亦受袭，WTI飙升逾7%，风险溢价与波动交易升温。

12

Mar 2026

澳洲消费者通胀预期3月升至5.2%，高于此前的5%

澳洲3月通胀预期升至5.2%，压通胀未完结，RBA降息或延后。交易员需重估利率定价：短债收益率上行、澳元走强或测0.6800，股市承压宜用期权对冲。

12

Mar 2026

英国RICS房价平衡指标2月降至-12%，低于市场预期的-9%

RICS英国房价差额2月降至-12%逊预期，楼市疲态加剧。借贷成本高压需求，BoE或更鸽派提早放风降息；英镑偏弱，房建与银行股风险升温。

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