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12

Mar 2026

英镑/美元连续第三个交易时段下滑至周内低点，随后反弹回升至1.3400附近，小幅走低

中东战事升级推升避险情绪，美元走强压制英镑/美元连跌三日。美联储鹰派、英央行受增长拖累。波动或高企，建议用看跌期权及原油看涨期权对冲。

12

Mar 2026

渣打银行蔡永明预计澳洲联储利率将维持在4.10%，并在第二季加息后升至4.35%

市场押注RBA 3月17日或升至4.10%，终端上看4.35%（或5月）。油价推高通胀预期，分歧表决概率增；期货隐含升息30%，建议用短期期权对冲波动。

12

Mar 2026

德国商业银行称，尽管IEA紧急释放原油储备，受霍尔木兹紧张局势及美国增产前景影响，油价与布伦特仍上涨

霍尔木兹遇袭引爆油价飙升！IEA拟释4亿桶储备仍难压市，市场忧供应再中断。特朗普或动用国防生产法加快美油，滞胀阴影加深。

12

Mar 2026

海湾紧张局势引发避险需求，推动欧元/日元逼近183.50，整体看涨情绪仍保持完好

中东战火升级引爆避险，日元走强拖累EUR/JPY跌至183.55；欧央行放鹰、加息预期升温支撑欧元。波动攀升，跨式/宽跨式期权成对冲与捕捉机会。

12

Mar 2026

欧洲早盘交易中，美元/瑞郎徘徊在0.7820附近，受通胀担忧与市场对美联储鹰派立场预期提振

油价飙升点燃通胀担忧，USD/CHF升至0.7820；中东冲突与霍尔木兹风险推高波动。紧盯周五PCE与下周美联储措辞，降息或延后。

12

Mar 2026

FXStreet数据显示，沙特阿拉伯金价下跌，整体来看金价今日走低

沙特金价周四回落：每克620.68里亚尔、每托拉7239.49。FXStreet指汇率换算所致，但央行持续增持、去美元化与避险需求或限制跌幅。

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