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13

Mar 2026

2月，西班牙协调消费者通胀率符合预期，同比持平于2.5%

西班牙2月HICP按预期升2.5%，欧元区通胀降温叙事获巩固，短线波动与VSTOXX走低。Euribor期货更计入年内降息；市场紧盯3月初值，若偏离2.4%恐再掀震荡。

13

Mar 2026

2月，西班牙协调消费者价格指数按月上涨0.4%，符合预期

西班牙2月HICP按月升0.4%符预期，通胀意外风险降温，强化欧元区稳价叙事。欧股隐含波动料偏低，卖方期权或有利；市场仅押注2026末一次25bp降息。

13

Mar 2026

西班牙2月消费者物价指数（CPI）环比上涨0.4%，符合预期并与预测一致

西班牙2月CPI按月升0.4%符合预期，通胀惊喜减少，ECB短期料按兵不动。欧股隐含波动与利率曲线或走软，区间策略更吃香。

13

Mar 2026

2月西班牙年度消费者通胀符合预期，CPI同比上升2.3%

西班牙2月CPI按年升2.3%符合预期，欧元区通胀延续“可预测”。波动率走低，ECB短期转向几率降；利率、股市与欧元或更适合卖波动策略。

13

Mar 2026

欧洲交易时段，WTI徘徊在每桶95.60美元附近，澳洲和日本释放石油储备

WTI徘徊95.60美元，亚洲走弱；澳洲、日本齐释储备抗中东供应冲击。霍尔木兹封锁传闻推升油价40%+。高波动下，关注看涨/看跌对冲与价差策略。

13

Mar 2026

法国巴黎银行：伊朗冲突或令通胀再起，限制欧洲央行降息空间；在温和情景下虽可能加息，但预计仍将保持谨慎

欧元区通胀降温令ECB有望降息、撑2025复苏；但伊朗冲突或扭转走势。三情景牵动油气价：缓和回落、长期不确定温和久涨、升级推通胀近4%或逼ECB加息。

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