Live Updates

14

Mar 2026

克里斯·特纳表示，随着波动性上升，兰特多头仓位回吐；低通胀压力加剧，贵金属动能减弱

兰特多头正加速减仓：通胀由5.1%跳至5.8%、VIX破25引爆套息交易去杠杆；金铂涨势熄火、油价飙至95美元成逆风，USD/ZAR或上探17.25至17.75。

14

Mar 2026

贝克休斯数据显示，美国石油钻机数量增加1座，从411座升至412座

油价坚挺但美国钻井平台仅增1座至412，油企资本纪律未松；库存降幅不及预期、OPEC+或按兵不动，供应偏充足，油价料区间震荡，卖波动率更吃香。

13

Mar 2026

WTI徘徊在95.30美元附近持稳，随着释出战略储备缓解供应担忧，中东紧张局势仍在持续

WTI徘徊95美元，中东局势牵动油价。澳洲、日本联动G7与IEA释储“托底”逾4亿桶，但若霍尔木兹海峡封锁延续，供应缺口难补。

13

Mar 2026

金价连续第二周下跌，油价上涨加剧通胀担忧，推升加息预期

油价飙升、霍尔木兹近乎封锁引爆通胀重估：金价周五下跌，连两周走低。市场削减降息押注、美元与收益率走强，XAU/USD守5,040，或下探5,000心理关口。

13

Mar 2026

纽约梅隆银行 iFlow 数据显示避险情绪升温：买入 G10/欧元区债券、抛售新兴市场；印度卢比/欧元资金流出，人民币/南非兰特需求上升

iFlow情绪跌至-0.088，风险厌恶升温：资金涌入G10/欧元区政府债、抛新兴主权债；外汇分化，EUR/INR流出，CNY/ZAR受捧。策略：偏防御、用期权控回撤。

13

Mar 2026

英国NIESR三个月GDP估算值2月维持在0.3%，显示没有变化

英国GDP三个月仅增0.3%续疲软，通胀降温但信心低迷，料英央行按兵不动。富时波动偏低宜卖波动率；英镑承压可买GBP/USD认沽，对冲并布局防御板块。

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