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17

Mar 2026

受强劲中国经济数据和加息预期提振，纽元/美元回升，徘徊于0.5850附近，上涨1.42%

纽元/美元反弹至0.5850，受中国零售与工业数据超预期、美元回落及风险情绪改善推动。惟RBNZ与美联储政策趋同、美元偏强，后市或转区间震荡，策略改抓波动。

17

Mar 2026

美元企稳之际，欧元升近1.1500，市场静待美联储与欧洲央行决议

美元涨势暂歇带动欧元/美元反弹至1.1497，但美伊避险与油价推升通胀或压制上行；本周紧盯Fed、ECB指引与点阵图，技术仍偏空。

17

Mar 2026

美元/日元跌至159.20，日元走强；在通胀忧虑下，市场静待美联储与日本央行决议

USD/JPY跌至159.20，市场屏息等美联储与日央行决议。油价推高通胀忧虑、美元指数回落。期权波动料升，跨式与买价外看跌对冲日元干预风险。

17

Mar 2026

随着市场对伊朗风险的担忧缓解，WTI原油下跌逾3%，从每桶100美元回落至逼近95美元

WTI单日暴跌逾3%跌破95美元！霍尔木兹关闭仍掐紧20%海运供应，SPR与亚洲需求降温压顶；OVX高企示波动，区间策略+少量看涨对冲成焦点。

17

Mar 2026

特朗普敦促盟友协助美国参与霍尔木兹海峡谈判，并指出伊朗所剩选择有限

特朗普称美军已摧毁伊朗布雷船、盟友“在赶来”但未明朗。霍尔木兹紧张推升原油波动与保险，OVX逼45；投资者可考虑买入波动、跨式布局应对二元风险。

17

Mar 2026

英镑/美元交投于1.3310附近，投资者消化美以与伊朗冲突升级之际，抹去上周五跌幅

GBP/USD 反弹至1.3310止跌，市场消化美伊冲突与霍尔木兹风险。本周聚焦 Fed、BoE 决议。技术仍偏弱，期权隐波或重估；长跨式、虚值期权捕捉非对称波动。

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