Live Updates

17

Mar 2026

道明证券称，澳洲联储以5比4投票将利率上调至4.10%，通胀性需求犹存，5月仍可能进一步收紧

RBA以5:4险胜再加息25基点至4.10%，通胀与需求过热升温。市场押注5月或再动。交易看曲线趋平，澳元获贸易条件与对冲买盘支撑。

17

Mar 2026

随着油价上涨，市场情绪转差，而美元趋稳，左右当前外汇市场格局

油价反弹推市场降风险，美元走强；德国ZEW、美国待完成销售与ADP将揭方向。美联储会议开启，点阵图成焦点；股指期货偏弱，黄金横盘。澳洲央行加息支撑澳元。

17

Mar 2026

德国商业银行（Commerzbank）Praefcke：中东冲突推高避险美元，市场重新聚焦利差，欧元兑美元跌破1.15

中东战事引爆避险，美元走强压低欧元兑美元跌破1.15。短线看标题、波动剧烈；若油价高企，后市关键转向实际利率与利差分化，欧元或获支撑。

17

Mar 2026

随着美联储降息预期降温，XAG/USD在欧洲早盘交易中于每盎司80.80美元附近保持低迷

白银徘徊80.80美元：中东冲突推油价升温胀，美联储短期难降息压抑无息金属；但美元与美债回落及波动率上扬，期权跨式或迎机会。

17

Mar 2026

英镑落后于多数同业货币，对美元走软；美联储与英伦银行政策主导交易

英镑除纽元外普遍走弱，GBP/USD跌至1.3280。周四英央行料维持3.75%，中东冲突推升通胀预期、压制降息押注。期权隐波升温，或宜布局英镑看跌对冲。

17

Mar 2026

丹斯克研究指出，中东局势紧张及伊朗袭击阿联酋能源设施，推动布伦特油价维持在每桶100美元以上

中东战火升级！伊朗无人机袭击阿联酋沙阿气田、富查伊拉油区传火灾，布伦特稳守100美元上方报103。期权隐含波动率飙破50，油价风险溢价或延续至4月。

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