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17

Mar 2026

XAG/USD在欧洲时段谨慎徘徊于80.50美元附近，交易员静待美联储即将公布的政策决定

银价美联储决议前窄幅徘徊：高利率预期压制非生息资产，但中东紧张提供避险底。技术面偏弱，关注78支撑、82阻力与点阵图。

17

Mar 2026

在加拿大央行决议前，加元表现跑赢G10同业，受伊朗冲突相关资金持续流入支撑

加元两周强势却更像对冲资金驱动，非真正避险。焦点转向央行分歧：BoC或先于美联储降息，压制CAD。机会：布局USD/CAD上行，看涨期权锁定风险。

17

Mar 2026

道明证券认为市场趋稳将推升美国利率，但质疑加息概率，倾向美联储延长暂停升息

美债收益率在情绪回稳下走高，swap利差扩大。市场紧盯美联储更久暂停与地缘政治。波动回落后，焦点转向何时降息，SOFR期货押注2026偏鸽。

17

Mar 2026

德国ZEW现况指数3月录得-62.9，优于市场预期的-67.1

德国ZEW当前状况指数3月升至-62.9，优于预期，悲观降温。DAX波动或回落，卖虚值看跌收权利金；欧元触底憧憬升温，留意EUR/USD看涨期权。

17

Mar 2026

德国3月ZEW经济景气指数降至-0.5，不及预期38.7，整体低于市场预期

德国3月ZEW景气指数暴跌至-0.5，远逊预期38.7！增长警讯拉响：欧元承压、DAX防守对冲、Bund受惠降息预期，波动或升温。关注VSTOXX机会。

17

Mar 2026

MUFG的李哈德曼表示，澳洲联储连续加息将利率推升至4.10%，支撑澳元，惟随后涨势回吐

澳洲央行再升息至4.10%居G10之首，通胀上行风险未解，5:4惊险过关；澳元冲高回吐。市场押注5月再加码、今年或两次，债券收益率与商品强势撑盘。

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