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22

Aug 2026

中东紧张局势升级且美元走软提振周度涨幅，金价升至三个月高位

黄金冲高至三个月新高、周涨或超5.6%，受地缘风险与美元走软驱动；服务业PMI强劲、收益率上行及国债回购预期扰动，期权多头瞄准4,650-4,700阻力。

22

Aug 2026

欧元/美元有望连续第四周收涨：美元走软与利差收窄推动欧元逼近1.17

欧元兑美元四周连涨但冲高回落，美元走弱与前端利差收窄支撑基本面；技术面超买提示回撤风险，关注1.1700/1.1800，1.1631为关键支撑与期权对冲位。

22

Aug 2026

德国商业银行称，伊朗紧张局势及能源价格削弱信心，导致德国Ifo指数回落

德国商业银行预计8月Ifo降至86.0，受伊朗地缘风险回升与能源价格上行压制；现况相对韧性但不确定性升。警惕DAX与欧元承压，波动策略或占优。

22

Aug 2026

尽管美债收益率走高，美元指数仍徘徊于99下方，财政赤字担忧与对冲需求升温

美元指数跌破99创5月新低，尽管长端美债收益率反弹仍未修复“美元—收益率”脱钩；市场重估9月加息与债务赤字风险溢价，资金涌向黄金、比特币，警惕PCE与杰克逊霍尔引发波动。

22

Aug 2026

美元/瑞郎企稳，美元收窄跌幅；瑞士央行释放重返负利率信号，美国PMI提振市场情绪

USD/CHF企稳0.8013但周线仍偏弱；SNB暗示或重启负利率压制瑞郎。DXY低位徘徊，PMI分化。央行信号背离、波动上升，建议短期限跨式/宽跨式布局。

22

Aug 2026

德意志银行认为：支出提振增速，英国经济增长上行风险加大，支撑英镑走强与国债收益率上行

德银称英国2026年抗能源冲击，Q1/Q2环比+0.6%/+0.4%领跑G7，年化约2%、GDP预测1.1%存上修；策略：做多英镑、做空Gilt、看涨FTSE250。

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