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22

Aug 2026

在日本央行加息预期升温、美国PMI数据支撑美元背景下，美元兑日元在159关口附近企稳

美元/日元159附近胶着：日本通胀与景气回暖推升9月加息概率至80%支撑日元；美国PMI走强与回购及制裁改善风险偏好托底美元。关注震荡、隐波上行与期权布局。

22

Aug 2026

CFTC数据显示：投机者将原油净多头头寸增至12.21万手

CFTC持仓报告显示，非商业交易者原油净多头升至12.21万手，较前值9.92万手增2.29万手，投机资金做多动能强化，关注油价波动放大风险。

22

Aug 2026

CFTC数据显示：随着持仓下滑至-1.06万手，投机者转为净空标普500指数期货

CFTC显示标普500非商业净持仓由11.3千手骤降至-10.6千手，投机资金转为净空；叠加8-9月季节性走弱，建议以保护性看跌期权及熊市价差强化对冲。

22

Aug 2026

CFTC数据显示：随着看涨押注增加，投机者将黄金净多头仓位提升至22.22万手

CFTC数据显示，黄金非商业净持仓升至222.2千手，突破22万手关口，投机多头温和回流；降息预期压低收益率，金价上行动能增强，但需警惕高位获利回吐风险。

22

Aug 2026

随着CFTC数据显示英国央行等会议前看空仓位减少，英镑净空头头寸有所缓解

CFTC显示英镑非商业净持仓升至-54.6K，净空收敛，空头押注现疲态；通胀趋稳压制激进降息预期，警惕空头回补驱动GBP/USD修复上行。

22

Aug 2026

投机者加码日元看空押注，CFTC数据显示净空头头寸进一步扩大

CFTC显示日元非商业净空头由-4.21万手扩大至-5.29万手，空头拥挤推升套利交易回潮；惟警惕日本央行政策转向触发逼空反转风险。

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