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22

Aug 2026

CFTC数据显示：原油多头大幅增加，加元空头回补；日元及VIX情绪走弱

CFTC显示资金偏多由原油领涨：WTI净多头激增但仍低位；加元空头回补酝酿挤压。日元与VIX转空，黄金多头拥挤警惕回撤风险。

22

Aug 2026

在美国财政部回购削弱美元之际，澳元/美元走强；技术性突破及收益率支撑澳元

AUD/USD周线涨逾1.2%并突破0.7149，受美债回购致美元走弱及美澳利差收窄支撑；上看0.7200/0.7227，跌破0.7100警惕回撤至0.7069、0.6999。

22

Aug 2026

美元/瑞郎周线收跌，美国国债收益率下行提振瑞郎，空头关注0.8000关口

USD/CHF周五微升至0.8010但周跌1.49%，受美债收益率回落与避险瑞郎走强压制；区间0.8086-0.7976震荡，RSI转弱，跌破0.8000或下探0.7933。

22

Aug 2026

美国国债收益率在国债回购及强劲服务业数据推动下反弹，关键通胀事件前市场聚焦

美国财政部上调回购计划叠加服务业PMI超预期，推动美债收益率全线反弹：2年期升至4.24%、10年期至4.474%、30年期至5.276%。PCE、BLS修订及杰克逊霍尔或引发利率再定价。

22

Aug 2026

墨西哥比索升至2024年5月以来高位，美元走软及套息交易推动美元兑墨西哥比索（USD/MXN）承压

墨西哥比索升至5月来高位，USD/MXN跌至16.92；美元走软与275bp利差支撑。墨零售疲弱，Banxico偏鹰；美服务回暖。下周通胀、GDP、PCE与杰克逊霍尔成关键。

22

Aug 2026

星展银行预计韩国央行将加息至3.00%，并上调经济增长及通胀前景

星展称韩央行8月或加息25基点至3.00%，上调GDP/CPI预测；若鹰派按兵不动亦留10月加息。交易思路：空KTB3年、做多韩元、买KOSPI保护性看跌与曲线陡峭化。

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