Live Updates

29

Apr 2026

荷兰合作银行策略师巴斯·范·赫芬表示：霍尔木兹海峡持续封锁、美伊谈判陷入僵局，布伦特油价突破112美元

布油冲破112美元！因特朗普拒伊朗重开霍尔木兹建议，僵局拖累供给预期。交易者紧盯近远月反向市场与OVX飙升，消息面成油价关键驱动。

29

Apr 2026

白银跌至约72.30美元，此前未能突破74美元，美联储谨慎立场加剧长期高利率担忧

白银跌至72.30美元，74关口失守。强势美元与“高利率更久”压制无息资产；收益率走高、PMI转弱加剧下行风险。焦点转向鲍威尔讲话与波动交易。

29

Apr 2026

加拿大央行利率决议前，美元/加元小幅走低，维持温和看跌偏向

油价走高撑加元，美元/加元跌向1.3672。BoC与美联储料按兵不动，市场盯前瞻指引与中东风险；关键支撑1.3600，阻力1.3730/1.3820。

29

Apr 2026

星展银行傅伟称，美联储将在鲍威尔举行其最后一次主席记者会时维持利率不变

鲍威尔或维持利率不变并开最后记者会；市场聚焦沃什：改看修剪均值通胀、AI生产力通缩，主张“降息+缩表”。期货押注7月降25bp，美元避险溢价走弱。

29

Apr 2026

三菱日联金融集团（MUFG）德里克·哈尔彭尼：在加拿大央行（BoC）料将以偏鹰派立场维持利率不变之际，加元兑美元仍具韧性

中东冲突推高油价与通胀预期，加元暂稳但偏弱。市场押BoC按兵不动却更鹰派，杠杆基金大举卖加元；建议偏持美元，期权/相对价值交易布局波动。

29

Apr 2026

道明证券预计美联储4月将维持利率在3.50%–3.75%不变，称将保持耐心，劳动力市场趋于均衡，油价推升通胀

重磅前瞻：道明证券料4月FOMC按兵不动，利率维持3.50–3.75%。油价推升整体通胀、核心仍黏，失业率升至4.1%添变数；鲍威尔或保持中性，利率随中东消息续波动。

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