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About: josephine

Recent Posts by josephine

Warjiyo辞职引发印尼盾波动忧虑，美元兑印尼盾汇率徘徊于历史低位附近

Neon outlined dollar bill on a dark background with reflection on a glossy surface, purple and blue hues showing a currency icon

印尼央行行长瓦尔吉约辞职叠加财长更迭，引发独立性与政策延续性疑虑，印尼盾逼近历史低位、USD/IDR上破18200。交易聚焦继任者与波动率策略。

Written on July 28, 2026 at 12:37 pm
Categories: Live Updates

在美联储加息概率上升及油价下跌削弱通胀对冲吸引力影响下，黄金跌至4,047美元

Stack of gold bars inside a transparent purple-tinted glass display case on a dark surface, lit with neon glow

金价回落至4,047美元，受美联储加息预期与油价走弱双重压制；33%加息不确定性推升期权隐波，建议ATM跨式博弈决议波动，失守4,036或指向3,940。

Written on July 28, 2026 at 12:36 pm
Categories: Live Updates

星展银行认为，美联储降息预期与油价下跌拖累美元，美元指数下行风险成为关注焦点

Neon-lit replica of a $100 bill-shaped stack, glowing pink and blue on a dark surface.

星展研究称美元受政策预期与油价下行分化牵引；期货定价下次FOMC意外加息概率38%。若按兵不动并淡化前瞻指引，DXY或走弱，宜布局虚值看跌期权。

Written on July 28, 2026 at 12:08 pm
Categories: Live Updates

美联储料将释放鹰派信号，沃什警示通胀风险：伊朗引发油价冲击叠加不确定性

美联储周三或释偏鹰信号、强调高度不确定性与数据依赖，点阵图缺席。期货已计入9月加息，美元或“买预期卖事实”。建议短期限美元看跌期权对冲，并配原油看涨期权防伊朗冲突升级，关注SOFR跨式捕捉波动。

Written on July 28, 2026 at 12:07 pm
Categories: Live Updates

美元/加元随油价下跌走低，市场静待美联储决议并关注美伊谈判进展

Transparent safe with a dollar sign, set against glowing stock charts, symbolizing financial security.

油价回落压制加元，中东会谈与加元阶段性走强令USD/CAD回落至1.4113。焦点转向美联储决议，按兵不动概率62%；关注1.4157突破与1.3962-1.4001支撑。

Written on July 28, 2026 at 11:37 am
Categories: Live Updates

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