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About: josephine

Recent Posts by josephine

美国ISM制造业价格支付指数超预期，强化投入品通胀压力及鹰派政策前景

Neon dollar sign on a glass panel with colorful stock market lines in the background.

7月美国ISM制造业价格支付指数报71.1高于预期70.3，投入品通胀韧性凸显，或促美联储高利率维持更久：美元偏强、股市承压，关注SOFR空头及期权对冲。

Written on August 3, 2026 at 6:07 pm
Categories: Live Updates

ISM制造业就业回升：暗示美联储立场趋于强硬，提振美国国债收益率与美元

Open policy document on a neon-lit surface, with a pen poised to sign.

美国ISM制造业就业指数7月跃升至52.8重返扩张区间，工厂用工超预期转强；或推升美债收益率、压制降息预期，利率与外汇衍生品需重新定价。

Written on August 3, 2026 at 6:06 pm
Categories: Live Updates

中国PMI回落至收缩区间，通胀降温加剧市场对央行宽松预期

Neon glass coin featuring a Yen symbol with an upward candlestick chart inside, set against a dark gradient background.

7月中国增长动能转弱：制造业PMI49.2再陷收缩，CPI降至0.5%通胀降温。关注央行加码宽松与人民币承压，商品、股指偏空，国债偏多。

Written on August 3, 2026 at 5:37 pm
Categories: Live Updates

标普全球美国7月制造业PMI小幅上升，提振美元并令美国国债承压

Futuristic holographic data dashboard with purple and blue charts on glass panels in a dark room

标普全球7月美国制造业PMI报53.9略超预期，扩张动能延续，叠加经济韧性或重塑降息定价：利率偏防御、美股期权收租、美元偏强，大宗商品可布局牛市价差。

Written on August 3, 2026 at 5:36 pm
Categories: Live Updates

兰特走势转弱，伊朗冲突推升油价、抬升南非风险溢价，南非央行面临更严密审视

Neon outlined dollar bill on a dark background with reflection on a glossy surface, purple and blue hues showing a currency icon

兰特对美元升势减弱：伊朗冲突推升油价、恶化贸易条件，通胀超SARB目标且7月按兵不动，风险溢价或上行。复苏取决于通胀、油价与政策转向。

Written on August 3, 2026 at 5:07 pm
Categories: Live Updates

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