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About: josephine

Recent Posts by josephine

原油市场信号：媒体头条常忽视的关键因素

原油定价核心在“预期差”而非新闻标题：解析OPEC+合规率、库存偏离共识、期货曲线升贴水与美元变量，构建MT4/MT5结构化跟踪与波动率仓位管理框架。

Written on August 11, 2026 at 4:07 am
Categories: Discover

在美元走强、油价飙升及CPI风险压制下，纽元/美元下滑至0.5880附近

Neon holographic NZD/USD trading chart with candlesticks, lines, and volume bars in pink and blue hues.

霍尔木兹海峡关闭推升避险，DXY逼近100、WTI飙至81.5美元，NZD/USD回落0.5880并承压。周三美国CPI或引爆波动，建议对冲并偏空期权策略。

Written on August 11, 2026 at 3:36 am
Categories: Live Updates

原油价格坚守在82美元上方，供应端风险仍为市场焦点

原油连涨后三日仍稳守82美元上方，霍尔木兹海峡重开谈判悬而未决推升地缘风险溢价；美国SPR降破3亿桶创1983年来新低，供给缓冲收缩引发市场再定价。

Written on August 11, 2026 at 3:02 am
Categories: Today's Analysis

美元走强，霍尔木兹海峡原油飙升提振金银；美元/日元走高，市场静待澳洲联储利率决议

Neon blue oil pump jack with a stock market chart backdrop in pink and cyan hues.

霍尔木兹风险引爆油价飙涨逾6%，美元指数站稳99.80上方；金银同步走强，通胀与避险溢价抬升。关注美CPI、澳洲联储措辞及衍生品对冲机遇。

Written on August 11, 2026 at 2:37 am
Categories: Live Updates

渣打银行认为，中国由成本驱动的再通胀将延续低通胀与低收益率格局，同时行业利润分化加剧

Neon-lit pen signing a transparent sheet with grooves and a signature on a glow blue-pink surface.

成本驱动再通胀难改供需失衡：国内需求滞后、CPI低位与10年国债收益率约2.1%或延续。利润仅向AI与石油集中，建议聚焦利率互换、国债期货多头及板块期权对冲。

Written on August 11, 2026 at 2:36 am
Categories: Live Updates

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