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今日分析

14

Aug 2026

金价回落，交易员重新评估美联储政策前景

金价冲高回落逼近4300美元，获利了结主导短线调整；美国通胀走弱下美联储收紧预期降温，后续关注美元、美债收益率及关键支撑4310/4300与阻力4350/4365。

14

Aug 2026

随着人民币走强，美元兑离岸人民币（USDCNH）接近多年低点

离岸人民币强势将延续？USD/CNH徘徊多年低位，央行中间价坚挺叠加美联储加息预期降温、通胀回落压制美元；关注6.7425支撑与6.7500阻力。

13

Aug 2026

标普500指数上涨，通胀降温缓解市场对美联储加息的担忧

7月CPI温和回落、核心通胀符合预期，市场下调美联储加息押注，美债收益率走低提振风险偏好，科技股领涨标普500，上行关注7,760突破。

13

Aug 2026

澳元兑美元守稳0.705关口上方，澳洲联储维持鹰派立场

澳元兑美元企稳0.7050上方，RBA维持现金利率4.35%但警惕通胀；市场押注年底或升至4.60%，聚焦Bullock听证与0.7065/0.7020破位信号。

12

Aug 2026

美国10年期国债期货小幅走低，市场等待通胀信号

美债10年期国债期货108.4附近窄幅震荡，收益率回落至4.68%。关键通胀数据将重塑9月加息25bp预期，关注108.50突破与108.40失守风险。

12

Aug 2026

火箭实验室股价下跌，“中子”火箭项目时间表引发投资者担忧

火箭实验室营收同比增62%、在手订单创23.6亿美元新高仍难提振股价：中子号首飞时间不确定、毛利率指引偏弱；拟收购铱星或重塑卫星通信估值逻辑。

11

Aug 2026

随着干预提振效应消退，日元走弱

日元在多方协同外汇干预后回吐涨幅、美元兑日元重返159上方。市场质疑干预持续性，焦点转向美CPI、日银加息预期与利差博弈，160关口成关键。

11

Aug 2026

原油价格坚守在82美元上方，供应端风险仍为市场焦点

原油连涨后三日仍稳守82美元上方，霍尔木兹海峡重开谈判悬而未决推升地缘风险溢价；美国SPR降破3亿桶创1983年来新低，供给缓冲收缩引发市场再定价。

10

Aug 2026

就业数据改变市场对美联储的预期，美元指数下跌

爆点：美国7月非农意外净减2.3万，降温9月加息预期并压低美债收益率；美元指数徘徊99.6逼近两月低位，聚焦CPI指引与100/99.5关键位。

10

Aug 2026

疲弱美国就业数据公布后，金价持稳于4,300美元上方

黄金强势站上4300美元关口，上周累计飙升逾7%。美国非农意外转负促市场下修9月加息预期，本周CPI、PPI及霍尔木兹风险成定价关键。

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