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今日分析

21

Aug 2026

铜价在库存压力缓解抵消供应风险之际于6.5美元附近盘整

铜价在6.54美元附近横盘，LME到货回升缓释短缺并触发获利了结；但智利供给扰动与美元走弱托底。关键区间6.40支撑、6.60阻力。突破在即？

21

Aug 2026

由于美国财政部回购操作转变市场情绪，美元指数（USDX）走低

美财政部扩大长期国债回购压低长端收益率，美元指数跌至98.68附近逼近三月低位；能否守住98.65并收复98.75成短线博弈焦点。

20

Aug 2026

小麦价格攀升，供应风险令全球作物前景持续受关注

小麦期货近6.78延续反弹、逼近7月高位，供应预期与作物长势支撑盘面；关注6.80-6.81阻力与6.50支撑，RSI偏强且站上200周期均线。

20

Aug 2026

布伦特原油在霍尔木兹局势不确定性持续之际维持在92美元附近

布伦特原油连涨四日后守稳92美元，霍尔木兹海峡不确定性与美伊对峙抬升地缘风险溢价；EIA库存上升限制涨幅，关注92.50/92.10关键位。

19

Aug 2026

半导体股普遍面临加剧压力

半导体回调加深？SMH报569.77，市场重估AI估值与盈利兑现；关键位590阻力、565支撑。守565或属整理，失守恐下探550/519。关注业绩与资本开支。

19

Aug 2026

标普500指数承压：科技股与美债收益率拖累走势

科技股与半导体回调叠加美债收益率、油价上行，压制标普500估值修复；指数守住7691支撑，关注7700—7706阻力及美联储纪要指引。

18

Aug 2026

金价回落，受国债收益率上行及油价拖累

美债收益率攀升抬高持金机会成本，叠加油价上行推升通胀预期，现货黄金回落至4391美元；市场仍计入美联储9月维持利率不变约65%，关注7月纪要定调。

18

Aug 2026

日经225指数下跌2.2%，科技股领跌

日经225失守69,600点，科技与电子元器件领跌，AI主题降温叠加美债收益率上行与地缘风险，资金收缩敞口；关注69,000阻力、66,000支撑，回调或延伸。

17

Aug 2026

澳元在澳洲联储鹰派前景推动下升至10周高位

AUD/USD升破0.7090创10周新高，受RBA偏鹰与美数据走弱压制美元共振驱动。利率定价指向或升至4.60%概率70%，7月就业成关键催化。

17

Aug 2026

香港科技股走高，提振HKTECH指数

港股科技板块强势反弹：商汤预告上半年净利5-7亿元领涨，HKTECH报4,790；关注4,900阻力、4,700支撑，MACD动能转弱，静待宏观数据催化。

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