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今日分析

13

Jul 2026

在油价反弹推动美联储降息押注升温之际，黄金跌破4,100美元

美伊交火推升油价与通胀预期，美元及美债收益率上行压制无息资产，现货黄金失守4,100美元、回落至4,070附近；关注霍尔木兹风险与4,060支撑。

13

Jul 2026

布伦特原油反弹，美伊新一轮打击重燃霍尔木兹海峡风险

霍尔木兹紧张再起触发风险溢价回补，布伦特反弹重返79美元。伊朗“暂停通行”表态增添不确定性；UKOUSD关注79.50阻力、78.00支撑。

10

Jul 2026

铜价涨势延续，市场焦点转向美联储政策信号

铜CFD延续自6.00美元低位修复，围绕6.30美元震荡，周线或连涨；关键看美联储利率预期与中东风险，支撑6.24-6.20，突破则上看6.35-6.45。

10

Jul 2026

百事公司（PEP）股价下跌：北美需求疲软盖过营收超预期表现

百事Q2营收同比增6.4%超预期，但北美有机收入-0.5%、饮料销量-4%拖累，通胀与燃油成本挤压消费；PEP回落至138美元，关注138.75阻力与134.70支撑。

9

Jul 2026

英镑兑美元在风险情绪趋于谨慎之际维持在1.3400附近

美伊紧张推升油价，但美元反应克制，GBPUSD守住1.3400关口。英国政局与财政政策预期扰动上行动能，短线聚焦1.3405阻力与1.3385支撑。

9

Jul 2026

英伟达反弹，AI 轮动重塑估值水平

英伟达预期市盈率下探至22.22倍、逼近2019年低位，2026财年营收同比增65%仍强劲；AI主题资金轮动转向CPU与存储，股价204美元关注205.20阻力、200支撑。

8

Jul 2026

原油上涨：对伊朗制裁重启推升霍尔木兹海峡供应风险

美国收紧伊朗原油许可并触发霍尔木兹航运风险，WTI突破71美元、风险溢价抬升；但OPEC+增产与海湾出口修复或压制上行空间。

7

Jul 2026

NZDUSD徘徊于0.5700附近，市场对新西兰联储加息预期出现分歧

纽元兑美元徘徊0.5700，静待7月8日新西兰央行利率决议。市场押注加息25bp与按兵不动分歧；前瞻指引或决定升幅，关键阻力0.5726、支撑0.5680。

7

Jul 2026

在三星抛售潮拖累科技股之际，日经指数回落

半导体权重股回调拖累日经225跌破6.9万点，三星强劲盈利指引仍引发获利了结；资金转向银行、汽车等价值板块助TOPIX相对抗跌，关注6.8万支撑与6.9万修复。

6

Jul 2026

美国10年期国债收益率在美联储会议纪要公布前小幅走低

就业疲弱引爆利率预期重估：美国10年期国债收益率回落至4.47%，非农仅增5.7万且前值下修，叠加油价回落降温通胀，市场聚焦FOMC纪要与4.44%-4.50%区间突破。

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