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13

Mar 2026

亚洲交易时段，英镑/美元回升至1.3370，美元指数在PCE通胀数据公布前走软

英镑/美元亚盘反弹至1.3370，美元指数回吐涨幅。市场聚焦美国PCE、GDP与信心数据；中东紧张与油价撑美元。英央行或降息，政策分歧压英镑。

13

Mar 2026

澳大利亚能源部长宣布将从储备中投放最多7.62亿公升燃油，以抵消与伊朗相关的燃料供应中断

澳洲松绑最低库存，拟释放7.62亿公升燃料并降义务20%，应对伊朗冲突供应风险；WTI回落但OVX高企。关注卖期权溢价与逢低布局长约机会。

13

Mar 2026

干预担忧令日元小幅走强；美元/日元在亚洲回落，终结三连涨，徘徊于159.40-159.45附近

美元兑日元自年内高位回落至159附近，触发日本干预猜想。油价高企掣肘日银退出宽松，美联储降息预期降温撑美元；策略偏买看涨期权控风险。

13

Mar 2026

亚洲交易时段，澳元走强，逼近0.7090，市场预期澳洲联储3月加息

AUD/USD跌后反弹至0.7090，市场押注澳洲联储3月加息25bp概率约70%。调查预期利率2026见4.35%。但仓位拥挤、今晚美国PCE或引发回调。

13

Mar 2026

路透调查显示，多数经济学家预计澳洲联储将于3月17日把澳大利亚现金利率上调至4.10%

路透调查：多数经济学家押注RBA 3月17日加息至4.10%，利率中位数料2026见4.35。通胀黏性对上增长放缓，澳元与利率波动或放大。

13

Mar 2026

在美以伊紧张局势下，伊朗坚持封锁霍尔木兹海峡，WTI徘徊在95.75美元附近

霍尔木兹海峡突关引爆油市：WTI逼近96美元、战事推升风险溢价。IEA史无前例释储4亿桶压顶，供应断裂对冲，隐波飙升；期权跨式/价差成焦点。

13

Mar 2026

华侨银行策略师称，尽管国际能源署释放储备，油价引发的通胀与增长威胁仍令包括新元在内的亚洲货币面临脆弱风险

IEA拟释4亿桶储备油也难压风险：运输瓶颈恐致短期供给挤压，油价或冲200美元。OCBC警告亚洲货币含新元承压，MAS收紧预期升温。

13

Mar 2026

伊朗新最高领袖莫吉塔巴·哈梅内伊呼吁继续关闭霍尔木兹海峡以向敌对方施压

伊朗新最高领袖扬言封锁霍尔木兹海峡、攻击美军基地，市场紧张推WTI飙近10%至95美元。供应冲击或再试三位数；期权波动升温，能源股受惠、航空运输承压。

13

Mar 2026

亚洲早盘交易时段，受油价走强推升通胀忧虑影响，金价跌破5,100美元，美元收益率随之走高

金价亚洲早盘失守5,100美元，美元与美债利率走强施压；今晚美国PCE将定调利率预期。中东冲突与油价升温或添避险，但高利率恐压金。

13

Mar 2026

德国商业银行称，马来西亚作为石油出口国的角色支撑令吉；1月产出在半导体与出口带动下增长5.9%

马来西亚1月工业生产按年飙5.9%超预期，创7个月新高！出口制造与半导体需求领跑，数据中心投资续撑产出；油价走强助令吉较稳，但进口成品油仍存风险。

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