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Live Updates

16

Mar 2026

BBH的Elias Haddad称，尽管维持中性立场，霍尔木兹航运风险仍为美元涨势提供避险支撑

战事消息推高波动，霍尔木兹航运成风险晴雨表：油破100美元、DXY冲高。BBH料美元回归96-100区间，短线可卖波动，长线警惕财政恶化看空美元布局。

16

Mar 2026

法国兴业银行经济学家预计欧洲央行将按兵不动，并采取鹰派措辞，同时评估油价飙升的影响

油价飙到110美元，ECB本周料按兵不动但口风更鹰：关键在霍尔木兹风险与第二轮通胀。波动率升温，交易者或用期权与Euribor期货押突破。

16

Mar 2026

欧洲早盘交易时段，澳元兑美元上涨0.5%至约0.7015，受市场对澳洲联储鹰派预期支撑

澳元兑美元反弹0.5%至0.7015！市场押注澳洲央行周二再加息25基点。油价冲突推升通胀预期，美元转弱助攻；技术阻力0.7100，支撑0.6944。

16

Mar 2026

WTI原油交投于98美元附近，特朗普政府考虑对伊朗哈尔克岛出口设施发动打击

WTI徘徊98美元：美方或打击伊朗哈尔克岛、霍尔木兹近乎关闭推升供应风险；IEA拟释储4亿桶压价。API库存成催化剂，期权波动或飙升。

16

Mar 2026

德国商业银行的福尔克马尔·鲍尔称：尽管能源价格走高，日元对美元几乎未跌，反而对欧元走强

油价飙升、日元却抗跌：美元兑日元逼近160，市场紧盯日本央行周四措辞与4月加息概率；若偏鸽或触发160关口，政府干预与剧烈波动风险升温。

16

Mar 2026

印度2月WPI通胀升至2.13%，数据出炉显示高于2%的市场预期

印度2月WPI通胀升至2.13%，超预期且连涨四个月，或逼RBI转鹰。债券收益率恐上行、Nifty承压；卢比或受益收紧，USD/INR看跌。

16

Mar 2026

荷兰合作银行本·皮克顿称，在美伊互袭及区域油气资产遭袭推升供应担忧之际，布伦特油价走强

美军袭伊朗哈尔格岛附近推升布油，市场忧霍尔木兹与红海断航；伊朗或报复。油价守105美元、OVX飙升，保险费暴涨，中国或转买大西洋原油。

16

Mar 2026

根据汇编数据，菲律宾黄金价格下跌，周初报出较低价格

菲律宾金价周一回落：每克降至9,659.41披索、每托拉112,665.50。FXStreet按XAU/USD与USD/PHP换算。关注美元、美债与央行买金动向，后市更关键。

16

Mar 2026

亚洲盘金价守在5,000美元附近，投资者权衡伊朗冲突与央行政策不确定性

金价亚洲盘徘徊5,000美元：中东冲突推升避险与油价，但高通胀或拖累美联储降息。本周多央行决议+政策分化，关注跨式、做多DXY/VIX及AUD/JPY机会。

16

Mar 2026

PCE数据公布后，市场走势反转，VIX一度测试高位后回落，抑制了超卖反弹

PCE后反弹昙花一现，VIX收22+、美元指数破100压市；高收益债利差扩至450bp示警去风险。黄金疲弱、油价升破95，建议偏对冲与能源。

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