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Live Updates

17

Mar 2026

美元在美联储决议前走强，金价守在5,000美元上方，但多头仍显犹豫

金价欧洲盘守稳5,000上方，战事与霍尔木兹扰动推升通胀忧虑；美元走强压制上行。FOMC临近，关注隐含波动率飙升，考虑宽跨式博突破。

17

Mar 2026

逼近160.00，美元/日元踌躇不前，日本财务大臣片山发出强硬警告，暗示随时准备干预

USD/JPY徘徊159-160关口，日方强化“随时干预”警告，美元动能转弱。利差与套息仍撑美元，但一旦出手或急跌5-7日元，交易需设紧止损。

17

Mar 2026

拉博银行的施瓦茨与劳伦斯预计，加拿大央行尽管面临通胀与增长疲弱，仍将按兵不动维持利率在2.25%

Rabobank料加拿大央行3月18日隔夜利率维持2.25%并持平至年底；但OIS开始计入加息。通胀受油价地缘冲击，CORRA期权成关键对冲与套利工具。

17

Mar 2026

美元/加元欧洲时段维持在1.3700附近，交易员等待美联储与加拿大央行政策决定

USD/CAD周二横盘守1.3700，聚焦周三BoC与Fed决议料维持不变。中东冲突推油价与通胀预期，9月降息概率降至近50%。技术阻力1.3750。

17

Mar 2026

美联储与瑞士央行决议前，美元/瑞郎在欧洲时段回吐早前涨幅后企稳于0.7880附近

油价与地缘冲突扰动通胀预期，市场降温Fed短期降息押注，美元走强令USD/CHF回吐至0.7880。避险需求与SNB干预倾向拉锯，后市关键看周三议息。

17

Mar 2026

德意志银行称，冲突推升后布伦特油价趋稳，随着霍尔木兹海峡通行前景改善，正逼近100美元

冲突溢价退潮？布伦特回落至100美元附近趋稳，近远月反向结构仍显风险。OVX降至40+但偏高；需求转弱压制远期，宜跨期与限定风险期权布局。

17

Mar 2026

道明证券称，澳洲联储以5比4投票将利率上调至4.10%，通胀性需求犹存，5月仍可能进一步收紧

RBA以5:4险胜再加息25基点至4.10%，通胀与需求过热升温。市场押注5月或再动。交易看曲线趋平，澳元获贸易条件与对冲买盘支撑。

17

Mar 2026

随着油价上涨，市场情绪转差，而美元趋稳，左右当前外汇市场格局

油价反弹推市场降风险，美元走强；德国ZEW、美国待完成销售与ADP将揭方向。美联储会议开启，点阵图成焦点；股指期货偏弱，黄金横盘。澳洲央行加息支撑澳元。

17

Mar 2026

德国商业银行（Commerzbank）Praefcke：中东冲突推高避险美元，市场重新聚焦利差，欧元兑美元跌破1.15

中东战事引爆避险，美元走强压低欧元兑美元跌破1.15。短线看标题、波动剧烈；若油价高企，后市关键转向实际利率与利差分化，欧元或获支撑。

17

Mar 2026

随着美联储降息预期降温，XAG/USD在欧洲早盘交易中于每盎司80.80美元附近保持低迷

白银徘徊80.80美元：中东冲突推油价升温胀，美联储短期难降息压抑无息金属；但美元与美债回落及波动率上扬，期权跨式或迎机会。

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