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Live Updates

18

Mar 2026

美联储决议前，美元与美债收益率反弹施压金价，触及本月新低

美联储决议前夕，美元与美债收益率走强，金价跌破5,000美元探低4,834。PPI高于预期推升利率押注；点阵图与中东风险成短线关键。

18

Mar 2026

WTI徘徊在97.50美元附近，上涨2.37%；冲突持续之际，伊拉克—土耳其协议缓解供应担忧

中东冲突推升WTI至97.5美元附近，供应中断忧虑升温；但美库存连增压制需求。波动或成主旋律，关注OVX高位下的期权跨式、价差与对冲配置。

18

Mar 2026

麦克勒姆告诉记者，若能源成本令通胀持续维持高位，加拿大央行或将加息

加拿大央行按兵不动利率2.25%，但更大变数在伊朗冲突：油价或推高通胀、增长转弱。麦克勒姆称逐次会议看数据，必要时可加息或降息，市场波动料增。

18

Mar 2026

道明证券称，加拿大央行将利率维持在2.25%，并暗示该水平仍属适当

加拿大央行按兵不动却撤指引，暗示转鸽：经济转弱、增长风险偏下行，通胀仍在。TD警惕滞胀与中东冲突拖累，或推升USD/CAD走高。

18

Mar 2026

美元/加元在1.3700附近小幅走低；加拿大央行维持利率不变，市场关注焦点转向美联储决议

美元/加元回吐但仍偏强：加央行按兵不动却转鸽，美联储料续守高利率。油价与地缘风险降温。交易员可考虑3–6个月USD/CAD看涨期权布局。

18

Mar 2026

ABN AMRO策略师称，不同油气冲击对市场对欧洲央行预期及德国国债收益率的影响各异

油气冲击决定 ECB 利率押注与德债曲线：需求推升加息预期；库存波动催生避险压低收益率。眼下油供中断或致熊平，但天然气溢价累积，后续恐转熊陡。

18

Mar 2026

施罗德预计，美联储将按兵不动；受油价走高与通胀预期顽固拖累，年底降息或需再等

今晚 FOMC 大概率按兵不动：油价飙升、通胀黏性令降息更难。点阵图或延后降息路径，收益率维持高位，波动升温，衍生品布局偏鹰与对冲。

18

Mar 2026

美国能源信息署（EIA）数据显示，原油库存增加615.6万桶，远超预估的40万桶

EIA原油库存暴增615.6万桶，远超预期，供应过剩利空扑面。炼厂开工偏软、需求走弱，油价或承压；可用看跌期权或卖出价外看涨价差控风险。

18

Mar 2026

RBC经济学家称，加拿大2月信用卡消费略有上升，但可选消费品购买仍持续下滑

加拿大持卡人2月消费微回升，但核心零售仍负值。非必需品尤其服装续弱，旅游娱乐走强。板块分化利选股与期权策略；油价飙升增通胀与不确定性。

18

Mar 2026

ING策略师表示，受台湾及巴尔的摩入库量增加推动，伦敦金属交易所（LME）库存升至2019年以来高位，铜价因此下跌

库存暴增拉响警报：LME铜库存创2019年来新高，台港与巴尔的摩入库助推；现货需求走弱，中国疲软与关税压制发货，净多头降至逾一年低点。

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