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Live Updates

26

Mar 2026

法国3月消费者信心符合预期，最新调查数据显示指数持平于89

法国3月消费者信心89点“无惊喜”却仍偏弱，短线或压低CAC40隐波。指数低于100暗示增长乏力，叠加通胀顽固，行情更偏区间，留意卖出短期期权收息。

26

Mar 2026

3月，法国制造业商业景气指数为99，较市场预期的100低1点

法国3月制造业景气指数99不及预期100，情绪回落信号浮现：CAC40或受限，期权对冲趁VSTOXX低位更划算；欧元承压，亦可布局法弱德强配对交易。

26

Mar 2026

接近184.00，欧元/日元交投淡静，市场对日本央行加息预期升温推动日元走强

欧元/日元终结四连涨，回落至184.20附近。市场押注日本央行近期开启加息，推升日债收益率支撑日元；中东风险与油价、欧央行应对成焦点。

26

Mar 2026

荷兰合作银行的马雷与季表示，与伊朗相关的油价上涨将推升并延长美国通胀压力

伊朗冲突推升油价，Rabobank 警告美国恐遭“滞胀式供给冲击”：CPI 3月回升、4月见顶3.3%，此后缓慢降温，或到2028下半年才回落至2.5%。

26

Mar 2026

特朗普停火言论提振行情后，亚洲股市在获利回吐下回落，恒生指数跌2%

油价飙破90美元、中东局势升级，拖累亚洲股市回吐涨幅；伊朗拒停火推升不确定性与VIX。投资者转向看跌期权对冲，恒生“虚值”Put未平仓增。

26

Mar 2026

德国商业银行称，因澳洲联储权衡滞胀风险，能源冲击推高通胀，澳元/美元跌至0.6950

澳元/美元跌至0.6950引爆滞胀警报：消费者信心与PMI转弱，市场押注RBA仍可能5月加息。如今通胀回落、央行转向降息，澳元偏弱，期权策略成焦点。

26

Mar 2026

英镑/美元在欧洲早盘徘徊于1.3360附近，市场等待伊朗停火声明的进一步明朗化

停火传闻牵动市场：英镑/美元欧洲早盘守在1.3360窄幅整理。伊朗立场仍硬、美元指数99.65附近徘徊；技术面1.34承压，关键看1.3390阻力与1.3220支撑。

26

Mar 2026

连跌三日后，澳元/日元徘徊在111.00附近，澳洲联储官员Kent提振澳元

AUD/JPY三连跌后守在110.90。RBA官员警示能源通胀或需更紧政策，但2月澳洲CPI走软压澳元；日元因BoJ或再加息、日债收益率升而走强。

26

Mar 2026

根据汇总数据，随着金条价格上涨，阿联酋金价上升

阿联酋金价周四走高：每克533.78迪拉姆、每托拉6,225.61。美元走弱、降息预期与央行买盘支撑，黄金避险升温；交易员可用期权价差捕捉上行。

26

Mar 2026

在美伊谈判前景不明之际，美元指数跌至约99.60，持续在99.50附近扩大跌势

DXY两连涨后回吐，报99.60。中东冲突推油价与通胀忧虑，强化“高利率更久”。交易员转向SOFR期权押注2026才降息，美元或续强。

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