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Live Updates

6

Apr 2026

欧洲早盘时段，欧元兑加元维持在1.6070附近并守在1.6050上方，受油价走软支撑

欧元/加元守1.6070偏强：加元受油价回吐拖累，地缘风险牵动霍尔木兹海峡；欧央行维持偏紧立场支撑欧元，市场紧盯停火进展与加央行政策。

6

Apr 2026

西班牙失业人数减少2.29万人，优于市场预期的3月增加1.03万人

西班牙3月失业意外减少2.29万人，远胜预期增1.03万，显示经济韧性强。或推迟ECB降息、支撑欧元；可关注IBEX35及银行股看涨期权、EUR/USD多头。

6

Apr 2026

据公布数据，西班牙失业人数减少2.29万人，降幅优于预期的1.03万人

西班牙3月登记失业意外减少2.29万人，远胜预期，凸显经济韧性。IBEX 35或迎上行，可用ETF看涨或牛市价差布局；ECB降息预期降温，欧元偏强。

6

Apr 2026

星展银行魏志强称美元/日元逼近160显得偏离基本面；尽管美日利差仍大，加息预期升温

美元/日元逼近160警戒线，日银加息押注升温却受美日利差托底。弱日元推高家庭通胀，干预风险攀升；一旦加息落地，USD/JPY或急跌，期权避险升温。

6

Apr 2026

星展银行（DBS）Philip Wee称美元/日元在160附近显得偏高，尽管收益率支撑仍在，市场正预期日本央行（BoJ）收紧政策

美元/日元逼近160“痛点门槛”，升势被指过度拉伸。利差仍撑美元，但日银4/28加息概率67%、通胀与干预风险升温，期权布局牵动波动。

6

Apr 2026

Bob Savage表示，3月欧元区通胀在能源价格带动下，将影响利率，并令财政可信度承压

欧洲3月通胀环比料涨约1%，能源与成品油才是黑天鹅。柴油破200美元、库存偏低，政府压价恐伤财政信誉。央行谨慎，利率与欧元波动升温。

6

Apr 2026

纽约梅隆银行（BNY）Bob Savage：3月欧元区通胀因能源上涨，燃油限价措施令财政信誉承压

欧洲3月通胀意外偏热，导火索竟是成品油短缺：柴油飙破200美元、库存仅够两个月。央行或再加一次息，政策指引趋模糊；期权押波动、汇率与能源对冲成焦点。

6

Apr 2026

欧洲早盘，英镑/日元交投于210.85附近，几乎持平，随着上升三角形整理延续

GBP/JPY于210.85横盘，市场紧盯霍尔木兹海峡“断供”风险。特朗普限时重开，否则打击伊朗设施；油价飙升压制英日降息预期，汇价偏弱震荡于207.24–213.40。

6

Apr 2026

欧洲早盘交易中，英镑/日元徘徊在210.85附近，走势持平，因上升三角形内的盘整持续

霍尔木兹海峡风险升温，英镑/日元徘徊210.85。油价突破95美元抬通胀，英日降息更难。汇价区间收窄、隐波低企，期权偏便宜，适合布局跨式/宽跨式博突破。

6

Apr 2026

欧洲早盘交易：美油徘徊在103.30美元附近，因美伊停火谈判跌破103.50美元

停火传闻压制WTI跌破103.5美元，市场下调供应中断溢价；但霍尔木兹风险与OPEC+增产仍牵动下限。策略上卖虚值看涨收权利金，并买长周期看跌做对冲。

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