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Live Updates

6

Apr 2026

欧洲交易时段，道指期货升0.06%至46,660点，受报道称美伊停火谈判提振

道指期货回稳，市场押注美伊45天停火传闻提振情绪；但48小时内达成机会低、特朗普周二期限恐引爆波动。关注FOMC纪要；可用跨式与能源看涨对冲。

6

Apr 2026

法国兴业银行经济学家称，欧元区更具韧性应对能源冲击，油气依赖度更低

能源冲击再来！法兴称欧元区更抗压、油气强度下降，能源涨价或拖GDP 0.2–0.3pp；德财政刺激与AI投资撑复苏，赤字扩大；ECB料2026/12与2027/6各加25bp。

6

Apr 2026

兴业银行经济学家预计，欧元区将更具韧性地应对能源冲击，并减少石油与天然气使用

新一轮能源冲击来袭，欧元区却更抗跌：油气依赖下降，NiGEM估算GDP仅少0.2–0.3百分点；财政赤字走高，ECB或2026年末才加息，市场或计早。

6

Apr 2026

路透：美国与伊朗考虑“两阶段”协议——停火、重开霍尔木兹海峡，并下调核计划目标

美伊正谈“两阶段协议”：立即停火、重开霍尔木兹，15-20天敲定；伊朗弃核换制裁松绑与解冻资产。市场或risk-on：油价、VIX跌，澳元与股市走强。

6

Apr 2026

路透：美国与伊朗讨论两阶段停火，重启霍尔木兹海峡通航并遏制核活动

路透：美伊密谈“两阶段”停火，含重开霍尔木兹、15-20天推终局；伊朗弃核换制裁松绑与解冻资产。油价战争溢价或回吐，波动率走低利好股市反弹。

6

Apr 2026

中东局势紧张扰动市场，投资者评估最新进展及全球经济信号之际保持谨慎

中东局势与霍尔木兹“最后期限”令市场谨慎；停火传闻、强劲就业支撑美元。油价与黄金较2025恐慌高位回落，衍生品更宜关注隐波与利差策略。

6

Apr 2026

中东局势不明朗影响外汇市场，投资者持续紧绷，关键进展需密切关注

中东冲突升温、特朗普限期施压伊朗，市场周一谨慎。油价与美元波动加剧，停火谈判仍在。投资者关注期权跨式/宽跨式、指数防跌及VIX对冲。

6

Apr 2026

澳元走强至0.6910附近，欧洲早盘交易受美国与伊朗停火协议乐观情绪提振

AUD/USD升至0.6910，受美伊或45天停火憧憬提振；惟美国就业强、利率或更久维持高位压制澳元。今晚ISM服务业PMI与RBA加息预期成关键。

6

Apr 2026

美伊停火乐观情绪提振风险偏好，澳元持稳于0.6910附近

澳元兑美元守0.6910：押注美伊45天停火提振风险偏好，但美国ISM服务业PMI与强就业推升“高利率更久”预期；RBA加息至4.10%，5月或再升。

6

Apr 2026

随着油价回落，欧元/加元连续第二天守在1.6050上方，交投于1.6070附近

EUR/CAD 连稳两天守1.6050：油价回落削弱加元支撑，但ECB或转鸽、BoC更慢降息利好加元；押注后市下行，低隐波买put控风险。

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