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Live Updates

6

Apr 2026

德国商业银行称3月通胀放缓至3.5%，但在印尼盾走弱、风险上升之际，印尼央行仍保持警惕

印尼3月CPI回落至3.5%重返目标，但中东冲突恐推高运费与供应链风险。通胀降温之际，印尼盾走弱破17,000，央行料4月维持4.75%偏鹰。

6

Apr 2026

道明证券预计3月美国ISM非制造业指数将放缓至54.2，伊朗局势不确定性打压市场情绪

地缘政治风险升温下，TD Securities料美国3月ISM服务业指数回落至54.2，就业分项或重陷收缩；惟伊朗冲突扰乱供应链，交货时间拉长或成指数上行变数。

6

Apr 2026

德国商业银行称，随着印尼盾走弱，印尼央行（BI）趋于谨慎；3月通胀放缓，但冲突引发的运费成本或上升

印尼3月CPI回落至3.5%重返央行目标区间，但BI因印尼盾承压转趋谨慎、否定短期降息。中东冲突或推升运费；交易宜押注USD/IDR波动。

6

Apr 2026

欧洲交易时段，英镑兑美元回升，上涨0.45%至约1.3255

英镑兑美元随风险偏好回升走强，美元避险降温；但美国数据撑美元、压制英镑。交易员可留意45天内1.3000看涨与跨式，押注贸易谈判引爆波动。

6

Apr 2026

适度和平方案乐观情绪提振英镑兑日元，但在接近211.45阻力位附近的回升受阻

停火框架提振风险偏好，GBP/JPY上扬但受阻211.45。避险美元遭抛售、英镑获撑；RSI与MACD偏多，突破或指向212.30/212.55，支撑210.35与209.64。

6

Apr 2026

欧洲交易时段，英镑上涨0.45%至约1.3255，兑美元走强

英镑兑美元升0.45%至1.3255，伊朗停火讯息点燃风险偏好、压低美元指数至99.85。英通胀偏高掣肘BoE降息，期权波动回落至7.5%，看涨英镑更划算。

6

Apr 2026

对伊朗和平计划的适度乐观情绪提振英镑兑日元，汇价在211.45附近滞涨

伊朗停火框架提振风险情绪，英镑/日圆走高但受阻211.45。RSI、MACD偏多，若日线突破或上看212.30-212.55；回落关注210.35、209.64。

6

Apr 2026

Bob Savage 表示，随着美元兑日元逼近 160、日债收益率飙升、日央行维持鹰派，日元走软

美元/日元逼近160、日元极弱，干预风险升温；日本国债收益率创数十年新高，市场押注日本央行续加息。隐含波动率攀升，期权、原油与日经成对冲焦点。

6

Apr 2026

尽管美元走弱，但情绪改善与伊朗停火预期令欧元/美元仍受制于1.1570下方

欧元兑美元因伊朗停火传闻走高，但仍困于区间。特朗普霍尔木兹“期限”引爆波动预期；美ISM与强劲非农撑美元，欧元通胀偏弱压制上行。

6

Apr 2026

Bob Savage 表示，随着美元兑日元逼近160、日债收益率攀升，以及日本央行维持鹰派立场，日元走弱

日元弱势不止，美元/日元守在160：美日利差超400bp撑强美元，日债收益率飙升、BoJ偏鹰；中东风险推高波动率，期权与做空JGB成布局与对冲关键。

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