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Live Updates

8

Apr 2026

在亚洲，随着特朗普将对伊朗的打击行动推迟两周，带动避险需求升温，金价逼近4,815美元

金价亚洲早盘冲上4,815美元！特朗普同意伊朗两周停火，条件是重开霍尔木兹海峡；避险溢价或回吐，关注黄金偏空、原油回落与VIX降温机会。

8

Apr 2026

英镑/美元逼近1.3400，伊朗停火提振风险偏好并削弱美元，汇价走高

特朗普宣布对伊朗行动暂停两周，油价回落带动风险偏好，GBP/USD 反弹至近1.34。但英国PMI走弱显类滞胀，关键阻力1.3480；数据前宜用期权对冲波动。

8

Apr 2026

2月，日本未经季节调整的经常账户录得3,933亿日元，低于预期的3,549亿日元

日本2月经常账盈余3.93万亿日元，超预期3.55万亿：日元偏强信号。或加压USD/JPY，助BoJ政策正常化预期升温，期权可布局看跌或跨式捕捉波动。

8

Apr 2026

澳元/美元攀升1.3%，在特朗普将对伊朗打击推迟两周后自0.6970升至接近0.7060

停火进展与油价急挫提振风险偏好，AUD/USD单日飙逾1.3%重返0.70上方。RBA升息预期、美国数据与FOMC纪要成后续关键。技术上看0.7120/0.6970支撑。

8

Apr 2026

欧元升破1.1650，特朗普接受为期两周的伊朗停火后欧元兑美元触及1.1670

EUR/USD亚洲早盘突破1.1650至1.1670，停火与霍尔木兹海峡消息提振风险偏好。市场盯FOMC纪要、波动率与期权策略；和平反弹或宜逢高卖。

8

Apr 2026

2月，韩国经常账户余额升至231.9亿美元，高于此前的132.6亿美元

韩国2月经常账户顺差飙至231.9亿美元，半导体出口回升驱动韩元走强；USD/KRW失守1280或看1250。可做多韩元，并部署KOSPI200看涨或韩元跨式捕捉波动。

8

Apr 2026

特朗普在Truth Social宣布，计划对伊朗发动的美军打击行动将暂停两周

特朗普宣布暂停对伊朗行动两周，前提霍尔木兹海峡全面安全开放；市场立刻risk-on：美股飙、金涨、WTI暴跌逾7%，美元指数走弱。投资者该如何布局？

8

Apr 2026

2月，韩国经常账户顺差由此前的132.6亿美元扩大至231.9亿美元

韩国2月经常账户顺差飙至231.9亿美元，外汇流入利多韩元、利空USD/KRW。半导体出口强劲推升KOSPI。BOK偏鹰稳汇，低波动降期权成本，布局韩元与韩股。

8

Apr 2026

特朗普在Truth Social宣布，对伊朗的轰炸计划将推迟两周

特朗普称美暂停轰炸伊朗两周，条件是霍尔木兹海峡全面开放；消息带动股市与黄金走高、油价暴跌、美元走弱。两周期限存变数，期权布局高波动更关键。

8

Apr 2026

道明证券预计新西兰联储将按兵不动，在经济疲弱之际吁对供应冲击保持耐心

别被市场升息预期骗了：TD Securities料RBNZ下次按兵不动、强调“耐心”应对供应冲击。经济产能不足、通胀降温与GDP仅0.2%支持偏鸽，纽元或承压。

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