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Live Updates

10

Apr 2026

弗兰蒂谢克·塔博尔斯基预测波兰央行将利率维持在3.75%，随着紧缩预期降温助推兹罗提回升

利率与汇率怎么走？ING料波兰央行利率料久守3.75%/偏鹰支撑兹罗提，但地缘波动主导EUR/PLN；关注4.250支撑与4.320阻力，短期跨式期权、收取PLN套息可留意。

10

Apr 2026

尽管市场对伊朗停火存疑挥之不去，投资者偏好美元，推动DXY再度升破99.00

美元失守99关口后守稳，伊朗停火疑云与霍尔木兹封锁推升避险买盘；美伊周六谈判、特朗普警告在即，叠加PCE/CPI或升温，利率路径再添变数。

10

Apr 2026

金价守在4,700美元上方，欧洲时段整理，交易员等待美国数据重燃动能

停火疑云+霍尔木兹封航推美元走强压金，XAU/USD守4,700上方震荡。Fed偏鸽限制美元。PCE/CPI前GVZ飙至三月高，期权跨式/宽跨式与对冲成焦点。

10

Apr 2026

德国商业银行安特耶·普雷夫克预计，尽管通胀数据走弱，瑞典央行仍将维持货币政策不变

瑞典3月CPI意外偏软：总体1.6%、核心1.1%齐低预期。基数效应与克朗升值拖累，VAT下调或再压通胀；OIS押注6月加息>60%，EUR/SEK波动策略受关注。

10

Apr 2026

欧洲交易时段，美国股指期货下跌；美伊停火希望降温，道指期货领跌

伊朗谈判生变、霍尔木兹疑云再起，美股期货齐跌，道指约4.8万点。油价与通胀风险升温，CPI前波动或放大，VIX与期权对冲成焦点。

10

Apr 2026

大华银行策略师称，英镑/美元需收于1.3480，否则将于1.3350–1.3450区间整固

英镑/美元冲高回落，短期困于1.3350-1.3450；若日收破1.3480才冲1.3520。现周收跌破1.3300转空，瞄准1.2945/1.3010，并用期权布局下行。

10

Apr 2026

在伊朗停火前景不明之际，澳元小幅走软，兑美元报近0.7030，跌0.2%

澳元跌至0.7030，停火存疑触发避险、标普期货走低、美元走强。RBA加息概率达60%，周五美国CPI将成关键引爆点。

10

Apr 2026

Geoff Yu 观察欧元/挪威克朗走势变化：欧元资金流向从美元对冲转为持仓不足的补仓

欧元仓位转低配，停火若延续资金流或回归均值；滞胀忧虑压欧元、挪威因能源强势吸金但多头拥挤。交易上：低价EUR/USD看涨、对冲NOK回调风险。

10

Apr 2026

欧洲时段，欧元兑日元升至185.30附近，收复跌幅并瞄准上升通道上沿

欧元/日元守住上升通道强势反弹，现报185.30。站稳9日与50日EMA，RSI 61.38偏多。上破185.70或冲186.88；跌破184.52恐回测183.64/183.00。

10

Apr 2026

欧洲时段，美元/加元小幅走高至1.3850，谈判前守住20日指数移动均线

USD/CAD 反弹至1.3850：美伊停火疑虑推高美元避险，但周五加拿大就业数据或带动加元反击。技术偏强，关注1.3750/1.3950，并用期权押注波动。

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