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Live Updates

11

Apr 2026

美国CFTC：标普500非商业净持仓降至-4.57万手，前值为-4.25万手

CFTC显示标普500大型投机者净空头扩大至-4.57万手，情绪更偏空。CPI 3.1%高于预期压低降息希望，指数回落测50日均线，VIX重返20警戒。

11

Apr 2026

日本的CFTC日元非商业净持仓降至-9.37万手，前值为-7.29万手，偏空立场进一步加深

CFTC：日元投机净空扩大至-93.7k，押注续贬升温。美日利差支撑USD/JPY上行，可考虑看涨期权/价差；但158附近警惕日财务省干预，务设止损止盈。

11

Apr 2026

宋林表示，台湾3月贸易表现优于预期，带动2026年首季出口、进口走强，顺差翻倍

台湾3月贸易顺差飙至213亿美元、1Q26累积530亿美元大增124%，科技出口占比84%推升增长。GDP或再双位数，布局台股与新台币期权，同时对冲油价与科技需求回落风险。

11

Apr 2026

周五下午，标普500指数力求延续涨势，力争实现连续第八日上涨

标普500冲八连涨未果，尾盘转跌；中东停火与伊朗谈判悬而未决，VIX回升22。通胀与信心恶化，板块分化加剧，宜以期权押波动。

11

Apr 2026

黄金徘徊在4,760美元附近，在美元因伊朗-美国与巴基斯坦会谈走弱之际料周线收涨，尽管通胀升温

黄金守4,763美元周涨近2%，美元走软与美伊巴基斯坦会谈提振避险；通胀回升、降息预期延后。关键看4,750支撑与4,800阻力，突破或冲4,900。

11

Apr 2026

风险偏好提振主要货币对，美元指数回落至98.60附近，尽管CPI受能源推动的通胀仍维持高位

CPI顽固叠加中东战火推高油价，美元指数回落；欧元、英镑走强，日元仍受套息压制。市场押注联储夏末降息，期权布局与黄金成焦点。

11

Apr 2026

星展集团研究预计金管局将温和上调新元名义有效汇率（SGD NEER）政策斜率，强调抑制通胀

油价逼近100美元、出口仍强，DBS料MAS 4月14日小幅上调新元NEER斜率并上修通胀预测；交易可偏多新元、关注SORA走高与期权波动。

11

Apr 2026

干预担忧与中东原油供应受扰忧虑令美元/日元维持在160附近，限制日元反弹

美元走软下，USD/JPY仍守159.30，160关口干预阴影未散。中东风险推升油价压制日元；美日巨大利差撑套利，回调或成逢低契机。关注波动率与期权布局。

11

Apr 2026

3月，美国月度预算赤字为1640亿美元，超过预测的1567.5亿美元赤字

美3月预算赤字达-1640亿美元、超预期扩大，发债供给升压低国债、推高收益率；利率走高或压股市并挺美元。交易员可关注做空ZN、买Put与VIX。

10

Apr 2026

贝克休斯：美国石油钻井平台数量升至411座，高于前值409座

钻井平台411座、两周连升：美国页岩油供应回温信号？EIA料下半年产量逼近1340万桶/日，或压制油价上行与波动率，期权策略可预先部署。

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风险提示：

交易差价合约（CFD）具有高风险，可能并不适合所有投资者。差价合约交易中的杠杆会放大收益和损失，有可能超过您的初始资金。在交易差价合约前，务必充分了解并确认相关风险。请根据您的财务状况、投资目标及风险承受能力谨慎做出交易决策。过去的表现并不代表未来的结果。请参阅我们的法律文件，全面了解差价合约交易的相关风险。

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VT Markets不向某些司法管辖区的居民提供服务，包括但不限于：美国、新加坡、印度、俄罗斯，以及被金融行动特别工作组（FATF）列入名单或受到国际制裁的任何地区。本网站上的信息不适用于，也不应被分发或提供给任何位于此类司法管辖区的个人或实体使用，因为分发或使用可能违反当地的法律或法规。

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· VT Markets Limited 是一家由毛里求斯金融服务委员会 (FSC) 授权和监管的投资交易商，牌照号为 GB23202269。

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