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Live Updates

11

Apr 2026

姜称韩元兑美元汇率跌破1,500，料在1,450–1,550区间内震荡，中东战争风险主导走势

韩元守住1,500下方但受中东局势牵动，仍在1,450-1,550震荡。油价高企压制升值，外资获利了结非恐慌；估值便宜或撑底，可用跨式期权押波动。

11

Apr 2026

星展预计新加坡出口将在电子产品带动下连续第七个月上升，年增速加快至10.3%

星展料新加坡3月NODX年增10.3%连七涨，AI带动电子强、石化承压。数据若超预期或推高新元与STI波动，期权与配对交易可先布局。

11

Apr 2026

澳元兑美元收平；市场乐观情绪削弱美元至四周低位附近，上行风险仍存

澳元兑美元周五近持平，焦点转向美伊谈判与风险情绪。技术上0.7100成关键阻力，利差支撑偏多；低波动下可考虑买看涨或卖现金担保看跌。

11

Apr 2026

旧金山联储戴利对路透表示，若通胀持续，利率可能维持不变；冲突解决后油价下跌

伊朗冲突与油价成降息关键变量：戴利称若局势降温、油价回落仍可降息；若通胀久高就按兵不动。CPI 3.8%、VIX走高，市场降息预期后移。

11

Apr 2026

德国商业银行亨利·郝博士预计中国2026年首季GDP增速高于4.6%，出口与投资带来提振

德国商业银行指中国2026Q1 GDP或高于4.6%共识，出口与公投撑盘；工产强、零售弱。关注股指期货战术做多、工业金属机会，并以恒指价外认沽对冲外部冲击。

11

Apr 2026

英国商品期货交易委员会（CFTC）数据显示，非商业净英镑持仓为-5.64万手，较前值-5.27万手进一步下降

CFTC：英镑投机净仓降至-56.4k（前值-52.7k），净空加深3.7k。通胀高、GDP弱夹击，叠加美英利差扩大，英镑短线下压；可关注Put或卖出价外Call Spread。

11

Apr 2026

美国商品期货交易委员会（CFTC）：原油非商业净持仓降至202.2K，较前值213.5K回落

CFTC：原油投机净多头降至20.22万手，单周减1.13万，资金看多降温。叠加EIA库存意外增、中国PMI偏弱与美元走强，油价上行动能恐转弱。

11

Apr 2026

美国CFTC黄金非商业净持仓降至15.63万手，前值16.32万手

黄金投机热度降温：CFTC显示非商业净多头从16.32万手降至15.63万手。CPI偏高推迟降息，美元指数破106，压制金价；资金或趁早前大涨获利了结。

11

Apr 2026

澳大利亚CFTC数据显示，澳元非商业净持仓下滑，从81,500降至70,800

CFTC：澳元投机净多头从81.5K降至70.8K，减少10.7K。RBA偏鸽、Fed偏鹰加上铁矿跌破100美元，澳元上行动能转弱；可用AUD/USD看跌期权对冲0.6400下探风险。

11

Apr 2026

欧元区非商业欧元净持仓降至负7,500份合约，逆转此前正500份

欧元投机仓位惊现“翻空”：CFTC非商业净持仓降至-7.5K，情绪转弱。欧区通胀1.7%引降息预期，美就业强撑Fed不动，政策差或压EUR/USD，波动率升至8.2%。

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