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Live Updates

14

Apr 2026

3月美国月度生产者价格指数（PPI）上涨0.5%，低于市场预期的1.2%增幅

PPI爆冷：美国3月按月仅0.5%，远低预期1.2%。通胀压力降温或逼Fed转鸽，股债齐涨、美元偏弱；市场押注5月加息概率骤降。

14

Apr 2026

ING分析师称，随着美伊紧张局势缓和、油价下跌，美元反弹空间有限

美元反弹乏力，市场押注美伊降温、油价回落；若停火延续，DXY或再破98。地缘风险未完？短期可布局DXY看涨与VIX对冲，长期警惕央行分化利空美元。

14

Apr 2026

截至3月21日当周，美国ADP四周平均就业变动升至3.9万人，前值为2.6万人

ADP四周均值升至3.9万，就业转稳但不热。通胀2.7%压低降息预期：利率偏高利空债券、利好优质股与期权策略，波动或续低。

14

Apr 2026

美国生产者通胀备受关注，欧元兑美元连续第七日升破1.1800

欧元兑美元连涨七日破1.18，中东和谈传闻提振风险偏好；焦点转向美国PPI与拉加德讲话。美欧同现长期暂停，汇价或区间震荡，期权可卖宽跨/铁鹰收息。

14

Apr 2026

法兴银行称，随着美国经济走强及避险需求推升美元，欧元/美元或再探1.20

EUR/USD收复冲突跌幅回到1.18，但仍跑输利差：美增长更强、美元避险压制欧元。若海湾降温、油价回落及ECB加息，冲1.20可布局买入看涨期权。

14

Apr 2026

道明证券称澳洲联储如今措辞偏鹰，豪泽尔质疑现行政策能否遏制通胀压力

RBA副总裁坦言对现有利率控通胀“没信心”，油价冲击恐推通胀至5%。若压力持续，市场押注下次加息25bp，利率或升破4.35%。

14

Apr 2026

荷兰合作银行分析师称，3月欧元区CPI终值将厘清霍尔木兹能源冲击效应及欧盟政治影响

欧元区3月CPI终值将揭示霍尔木兹能源冲击传导强度，或令ECB更鹰，欧元波动加剧。匈牙利转向或解锁900亿欧元援乌贷款，降低政治尾部风险。

14

Apr 2026

纽元/美元逼近0.5900，上涨0.5%，风险偏好回升带动纽元在主要货币中走强

风险偏好升温，NZD/USD涨0.5%逼近0.5900，美元指数跌至六周低点。美伊谈判预期降避险需求，PPI将揭通胀。技术转多，可布局0.6000看涨期权，乳价意外上扬加持。

14

Apr 2026

BBH的Elias Haddad：风险偏好改善、美伊停火持续，压低布伦特油价并削弱美元

美伊沟通稳住停火，风险偏好回归：油价跌破100美元，股债齐升美元走弱。DXY料守96-100区间，VIX回落，卖期权、铁鹰与认沽信用价差迎布局窗口。

14

Apr 2026

金价连续第二天走高，自4,664美元反弹后逼近4,800美元，4,850美元附近阻力显现

黄金连涨逼近4,800美元，传美伊本周或重启谈判推升避险。技术面区间4,620-4,850；破4,850看4,932/5,000，失守4,620恐回测4,350。

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