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Live Updates

14

Apr 2026

美元/日元跌近158.90，因美国数据降温、日本央行偏鹰及美伊会谈乐观情绪拖累

美元/日元跌至158.90，受美元转弱、PPI低预期与风险情绪改善拖累；日央行或上调通胀预测添鹰派想象。关注159.25强阻力，跌破158.70或续探底。

14

Apr 2026

MUFG分析师Michael Wan称特朗普已对霍尔木兹海峡启动海上封锁，惟美伊谈判之际风险资产反而走高

霍尔木兹封锁已启，风险资产却反弹；市场押注谈判降温但脆弱。若执法转严或破局，油价与VIX恐再飙，亚洲货币最受冲击。

14

Apr 2026

拉加德向彭博表示，欧洲央行将关注中期趋势，并依靠最新数据作出决策

拉加德称ECB在基准与不利情境间摇摆，坚持数据依赖与灵活出手。核心通胀仍2.7%拖累降息，市场波动料放大；关注利率期货、欧元及股指期权机会。

14

Apr 2026

美国股指攀升，美伊会谈令WTI承压，抛售潮下油价跌破93美元

美股趁停火谈判传闻反弹：纳指+1.5%、标普+1%。霍尔木兹仍近封锁，WTI暴跌7%破93。Polymarket押57%重开；估值回落、CTA或再推涨。

14

Apr 2026

油价因美伊谈判希望跌破90美元，美元/加元回升；风险偏好回暖下加元承压

油价两连跌拖累加元，USD/CAD自1.3731反弹至1.3761。DXY跌近98、风险偏好回升。伊朗谈判与停火预期压油价；美国PPI偏弱减收紧压力。

14

Apr 2026

贝森特敦促美联储推迟降息，预计美国核心通胀将持续回落，尽管伊朗战争持续

伊朗战事未歇，贝森特仍看好美国核心通胀续降；并向美联储施压尽快降息，称应待沃什上任领宽松周期；另提10%第122条关税、住房法案。

14

Apr 2026

英镑攀升至接近1.3590，因美伊关系改善希望升温及PPI走软削弱美元需求

停火谈判点燃风险偏好、美国通胀低于“更高预期”压弱美元，英镑/美元冲上1.3590创2月新高；自4月低位反弹逾350点，收复年内跌幅近半。

14

Apr 2026

美国52周期国库券拍卖收益率升至3.56%，高于前值3.485%

美52周T-bill中标利率飙至3.56%，通胀黏性促市场重估Fed偏鹰；加息押注升温。策略：做空SOFR、卖债期货call spread、买NDX保护put、关注VIX与做多美元。

14

Apr 2026

美国通胀放缓削弱美元，买盘需求进一步上升，白银攀升至约79美元

白银周二飙升至78.80美元、盘中高见79.32，单日涨4.16%。美元走弱、PPI低于预期降温加息预期，加上美伊或重启谈判，避险买盘回流。

14

Apr 2026

英镑兑美元上涨0.3%，受英国国债需求提振；数据清淡，英伦银行言论或左右走势

英镑/美元升0.3%重返冲突前，盘中破1.35。英债与金融债发行获热捧。市场盯紧英伦银行官员表态与曼“积极”应对；RSI偏多，阻力看1.37。

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