Live Updates

15

Apr 2026

法国兴业银行称人民币强势回归，美元兑人民币逼近6.80，霍尔木兹海峡油轮通行之际避险吸引力增强

人民币走强，USD/CNY逼近6.80三年新高；中债收益率跌破1.79%引防御买盘。沪深300与国债90天相关转正，人民币或成区域避险锚。信贷放缓，市场押注1Q数据转弱。

15

Apr 2026

根据3月通胀数据，阿根廷月度CPI上涨3.4%，高于预期的3%

阿根廷3月CPI环比升3.4%爆冷，高于预期0.4点；降息续航打问号。比索或承压冲1300，NDF对冲更香；利率掉期防暂停降息，并趁平静买波动。

15

Apr 2026

美国数据走软与对伊朗局势的乐观情绪带动更广泛的风险偏好升温，整体拖累美元走低

DXY跌近98.10创数周低，温和通胀+风险偏好升温引爆抛压；油价与美债收益率回落助跌。欧元英镑走强、日圆反弹；市场紧盯IMF与多国数据。

15

Apr 2026

大华银行小丑许表示，随着能源成本上升推高新加坡CPI读数，金管局上调2026年通胀预测

MAS上调2026通胀预测至1.5–2.5%，剑指输入型能源冲击。油价破110美元推高电费交通，UOB料最早7月上调S$NEER斜率，新元或再走强。

15

Apr 2026

澳元/美元小幅走高，瞄准0.7150-0.7170阻力位；市场憧憬美伊对话令美元走软，提振澳元

AUD/USD升至0.7132创3月新高：美元因PPI不及预期、伊朗谈判憧憬与油价回落而走软；RBA偏鹰加持偏多结构，关注0.7150-0.7170阻力与0.7033支撑。

15

Apr 2026

华侨银行策略师表示，受中东紧张局势与油价走高影响，美元/韩元上涨，高贝塔、依赖进口原油的韩元承压

中东风险推高油价，韩元因高贝塔与净油进口承压，USD/KRW逼近1488。央行料谨慎观望；技术面超卖回升，区间1470–1500拉锯，关注1475/1469支撑与1492/1500阻力。

15

Apr 2026

WTI原油连续第三个交易日下跌，交投于约89.10美元，美国与伊朗外交缓和霍尔木兹海峡担忧

WTI连跌三天逼近89.10美元，市场押注美伊或重启谈判降冲突风险；但海上封锁、核争议未解，霍尔木兹若再收紧恐引发供应冲击与通胀。

15

Apr 2026

德国商业银行分析师称，金管局收紧政策，加速新元名义有效汇率（NEER）走强，优先控通胀而非增长

MAS转鹰：收紧政策、上调新元NEER升值速度至约1.75%，主攻通胀。USD/SGD料守1.2600–1.3120；关注人民币权重，反弹做空与卖价外PUT成焦点。

14

Apr 2026

在PPI数据走软及对伊朗停火的乐观情绪带动下，他预计道指上涨300点，标普500与纳指走高

PPI低于预期点燃买盘：美股周二齐涨，道指近4.85万、标普+1.1%、纳指+1.8%靠科技；油价因IEA降需求预测重挫，甲骨文续强。

14

Apr 2026

英镑逼近1.3590，因美国PPI降温及伊朗和谈希望抑制美元需求

英镑因美元走弱反弹至1.3590，美PPI偏软与美伊谈判预期拖累DXY、油价回落。惟通胀粘性撑美元，建议以GBP/USD看跌期权对冲。

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