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Live Updates

15

Apr 2026

本周美元指数徘徊在98.00附近，美元成为G8中最弱货币

美元指数跌破百点警戒线？DXY徘徊98上方创低，和平谈判升温+PPI/CPI偏温和压制加息预期；交易员可布局看跌期权、做空美元，波动率下滑降成本。

15

Apr 2026

大华银行（UOB）策略师指出，美元/日元在触及158.59后回落至158.77，熊市动能增强，或下探158.50–158.00区间

美元/日元跌破预期区间，收158.77跌0.42%，跌势转强！短线或探158.50，失守恐测158.00关键支撑；上方159.20/159.50成反弹门槛。

15

Apr 2026

3月，土耳其预算转为2299亿赤字，逆转此前243.7亿盈余

土耳其3月预算从盈余急转2,299亿赤字，财政恶化或令里拉承压、波动率飙升。交易上倾向做多USD/TRY，并押注利率高位更久，股市板块料分化。

15

Apr 2026

丹斯克银行团队称，3月美国PPI走软几乎未改变美联储降息预期，今年降息概率约三分之一

美国3月PPI仅升0.5%低预期，能源推高商品价；CPI仍黏性、降息概率仍低。油价与收益率齐跌、VIX回升：跨式/原油及美债期权对冲成焦点。

15

Apr 2026

尽管对伊朗局势持乐观态度，美元守住涨幅，金价逼近4,800美元，今日自高位回落

金价自四周高位回落仍守4,800：美元反弹、霍尔木兹紧张压制贵金属。美伊谈判悬而未决，通胀数据缓和加息预期；技术面多头未破。

15

Apr 2026

美元止跌企稳后，白银徘徊在81美元附近；伊朗乐观情绪支撑前景保持坚挺

白银冲高81美元受阻回落至79.5，美元七连跌后反弹压制。市场盯美伊停火与美联储不变概率65%。技术仍偏多：守75.91，破81看85。

15

Apr 2026

德国商业银行（Commerzbank）Praefcke：和平希望削弱美元、推升欧元/美元（EUR/USD），但市场仍等待冲突走向更明朗

中东冲突现外交曙光，美元转弱、欧元走强：EUR/USD守1.0950，DXY回落至104.5。外汇波动料温和；若降温明确，油价通胀与央行利差重估将放大行情。

15

Apr 2026

英镑/日元连续八日维持强势，徘徊于215.00附近，逼近2008年高位，霍尔木兹紧张局势令日元承压

英镑/日元八连涨逼近2008高位，受BoE更鹰派预期提振；但霍尔木兹风险推升避险日元、BoJ或加息及干预忧虑、RSI近超买，走势或转震荡，关注贝利讲话与英国数据。

15

Apr 2026

法国兴业银行称，特朗普封锁霍尔木兹海峡的立场及伊朗威胁应继续支撑布伦特油价

霍尔木兹海峡恐遭限行与伊朗威胁，布伦特油价获撑。若伊朗出口中断，供应或减150万至200万桶/日，库存加速下滑，市场正常化延至5月中旬。全球库存已减1.9亿桶。

15

Apr 2026

美国军方封锁霍尔木兹海峡，供应收紧并扰乱伊朗谈判，WTI原油攀升至89美元

WTI跌破85后急弹至89美元，因美军称封锁霍尔木兹海峡。虽传美伊重启谈判，技术面仍偏空；若失守84.46，恐再探80甚至76。

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