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Live Updates

15

Apr 2026

BBH的Elias Haddad表示，风险资产涨势暂歇之际，布伦特在下跌后徘徊在96美元附近

布油守在96美元，市场屏息等美伊谈判与霍尔木兹通行。IMF警告：油价100/110美元恐把2026全球增长压至2.5%/1.8%。期权押波动。

15

Apr 2026

欧洲交易时段，NYMEX WTI期货在特朗普警告伊朗可能重新部署后反弹至每桶90美元上方

WTI原油回升逼近每桶90美元；美拟向中东增兵、伊美谈判与特朗普称不延长停火令局势摇摆。技术面仍压在20日EMA 92.36，RSI约49。

15

Apr 2026

4月美国MBA抵押贷款申请指数由此前的-0.8%回升至1.8%，显示需求再度回暖

美国MBA房贷申请指数当周转升1.8%，显示需求回暖；若利率回落或再点燃楼市，牵动美联储降息预期、国债与房屋建商ETF行情走向。

15

Apr 2026

伊朗伊斯兰革命卫队警告：若美国持续对伊朗实施霍尔木兹海峡封锁，波斯湾与阿曼海贸易或将中断

伊朗革命卫队警告或封锁霍尔木兹海峡，美方拟增兵中东，油价与波动率急升。每日日运2100万桶原油命脉受威胁，交易员可布局短期期权与OVX波动机会。

15

Apr 2026

假期过后，印度卢比走强，市场对美伊可能举行第二轮会谈的乐观情绪升温

停火憧憬升温、油价跌破90美元带动风险偏好回升，印度卢比假期后走强，USD/INR回落至93.20；关注FII持续流出与WPI超预期。

15

Apr 2026

道明证券称：美债收益率随股市反弹大涨；PPI走软提振标普500；核心PCE料环比0.26%

美债利率飙升但美股续扬，标普500逼近新高！PPI低于预期推升降息想象，聚焦官员讲话、褐皮书、沃什听证与TIC数据及中东局势。

15

Apr 2026

德国30年期国债拍卖收益率为3.57%，高于此前录得的3.42%

德债30年拍卖收益率跳升至3.57%引爆“更久更高”预期；通胀2.8%压制降息，债价承压、股市估值受挤，欧元或获利差支撑冲1.1050。

15

Apr 2026

本周，两家AI公司财报或左右市场走向，标普500盈利同比增长14%

标普500本周起迎业绩季：整体盈利料增14%连六季双位数；科技飙40%医疗跌10%。大行看信贷与消费，ASML/台积电聚焦订单、毛利率与AI需求。

15

Apr 2026

美伊对话重燃乐观情绪提振澳元/日元升向113.50，涨势延续至第三日

AUD/JPY连涨三日逼近113.50！美伊或重启会谈提振风险偏好、日元受油价与海峡担忧走弱；RBA警示通胀与能源冲击，日方干预与BOJ表态成变数。

15

Apr 2026

欧洲时段交易中，英镑/美元维持在1.3565附近，略低于两个月高位约1.3590

停火憧憬推升risk-on，GBP/USD守1.3565近两月高；DXY贴98。聚焦贝利讲话与GDP。技术偏强但美元基本面压制，慎买看涨，宜用期权对冲波动。

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