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Live Updates

17

Jul 2026

欧元/美元企稳于1.1445附近，中东风险与美联储鹰派立场支撑美元

中东紧张升温、美元避险需求抬头，EUR/USD 守 1.1445。美联储偏鹰、ECB 或观望但9月存加息变数；建议做空反弹、买虚值看跌或跨式捕捉波动。

17

Jul 2026

伊朗敦促胡塞武装威胁关闭曼德海峡，美军空袭推高油价风险

红海油路或被掐断！伊朗指示胡塞备战，IRGC或控曼德海峡封锁时点；美伊冲突升级冲击供给。策略：买布油虚值看涨、做多波动率与FFA运费多头。

17

Jul 2026

中东紧张局势推高通胀与美国加息押注，金价下滑逼近八个月低点

金价亚洲早盘跌至3,975美元逼近八个月低点。中东升温恐推高油价与通胀，强化美利率高企预期；红海与霍尔木兹风险削弱无息黄金吸引力。

17

Jul 2026

韩国央行加息至2.75%，晶片波动加剧促使当局收紧杠杆ETF与ETN监管

韩国意外升息至2.75%挺韩元，却遇半导体股暴跌。监管收紧记忆体杠杆ETF/ETN并停新发，或改写波动与期权策略：跨式捕波动、障碍外汇对冲。

17

Jul 2026

美元/日元徘徊于163下方，日元干预效应减弱，CPI与美联储成市场焦点

美元/日圆死守162.50下方、波动率极度压缩成“弹簧盘”。163受阻、162有买盘。日本曾11.7兆干预仍回吐。关注7/23日CPI与7/29美联储；宜用跨式/障碍期权押突破164或跌破162。

17

Jul 2026

WTI跌破79美元，尽管中东风险与供应充裕，80美元关口仍守住

WTI 三拒 80 美元回落，地缘火药味浓却难撑溢价。全球供应偏宽松至 2026：美国产量 1350 万桶/日，非 OPEC 增产。策略偏空，盯 78/77.5/76；突破 80.5 才转多，警惕曼德海峡与沙特设施突袭风险。

17

Jul 2026

澳元/美元在0.7000附近区间震荡，通胀前景趋软及美国数据支撑美元走强

AUD/USD 四连横盘0.7000，50日EMA压顶；澳洲通胀预期降温削弱加息押注。关注人行决议、美国强数据与澳洲就业/CPI，0.6900成下破关键。

17

Jul 2026

英镑走软，美国数据提振美元；下周聚焦英国通胀与劳动力市场考验

英镑单日重挫0.5%失守1.35，400点升势遭削。英国增长疲弱、政治交接叠加下周数据潮，期权波动或飙；阻力1.3550，偏向反弹沽空与买Put。

17

Jul 2026

英镑兑日元从18年来高位回落，日元走强，218.00支撑位成焦点

英镑/日元冲高回落至218.80，RSI回落示警短线盘整。多头关键守218.00，失守看216.60/216.00；突破219/220.50或冲221。衍生品宜用Put/Call与价差对冲高波动。

17

Jul 2026

美元/离岸人民币（USD/CNH）回调延续，空头瞄准6.7600，受制于6.7820附近阻力

USD/CNH 回调加速，6.7780 下方受压，支撑看 6.7660/6.7600；守住 6.7820 偏空。出口与顺差走强挺人民币，策略：反弹做空或买短期 Put。

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