Live Updates

20

Jul 2026

Moonshot 推出 Kimi K3，加剧 AI 交易压力；资本开支激增，波动率策略更受青睐

Moonshot 推出开源权重 Kimi K3，低价冲击美国 AI 护城河与 hyperscaler 利润。大摩警示资本开支飙升、波动加剧：偏多波动率、用期权对冲半导体与欧洲板块分化。

20

Jul 2026

全球金价上涨带动巴基斯坦金价小幅走高，托拉金价维持在接近历史高位

巴基斯坦金价再创新高：每克PKR35,945、每托拉PKR419,258。全球央行持续增持支撑涨势；衍生品交易者宜回调买入看涨期权，关注利率决策。

20

Jul 2026

美元/印尼盾反弹，原油风险溢价挤压印尼盾；美联储加息概率支撑美元

USD/IDR止跌回到18,020：油价上涨+苏门答腊燃油短缺压制印尼盾。FedWatch押注9月加息61.4%，美伊冲突推升避险。策略：短期call/牛市价差瞄准18,200。

20

Jul 2026

在美伊紧张局势推高油价下，WTI触及一个月高位，关注85.84美元与90.28美元水平

WTI 油价受美伊紧张与霍尔木兹封锁传闻刺激冲上 84 美元；技术破 200SMA 强化多头。机会：期货/看涨价差瞄准 85.84、90.28，止损守 81.40。

20

Jul 2026

印度金价持稳，央行需求支撑前景，交易员关注INR 12,475突破

印度金价周一几乎持平于每克约12,475卢比；央行持续扫货、美元与利率变数加剧。交易员紧盯盘整区间，伺机突破：可用铁秃鹰收权利金，破位则转做多看涨期权。

20

Jul 2026

马来西亚金价小幅走高，央行购金支撑全球黄金需求

金价周一温和走高：每克MYR529.13、托拉MYR6,171.72。央行持续千吨级扫货成“底盘”。关注利率转向，回调可用看涨期权/牛市价差布局。

20

Jul 2026

澳元/日元企稳于113.55附近，澳洲联储-日银利差支撑汇价，日元干预风险限制涨幅

AUD/JPY升至113.55，利差撑澳元但干预阴影压顶。RBA按兵不动、加息概率低；BoJ会议成关键。衍生品建议买保护性put、做熊市比例价差，并以JPY call对冲突发转鹰与干预。

20

Jul 2026

金价企稳于3,983美元附近：中东风险支撑价格，美联储前景限制涨幅

金价亚洲盘反弹至3,983美元，美元走软支撑但中东风险与偏鹰预期拉扯。仍处下行通道，4,056阻力未破宜逢高做空，防回落3,662。

20

Jul 2026

欧元/日元企稳于关键EMA上方，上升三角形形态令突破风险持续受关注

EUR/JPY连跌三日仍守185.80、站稳9/50日EMA支撑，上升三角形蓄势冲186.10；突破看187.95。跌破185.00恐回测181.87。建议关注186.50看涨期权，止损185.12下。

20

Jul 2026

美元/瑞郎升势延续，逼近0.8070；瑞士央行动态及中东紧张局势左右资金流向

美元/瑞郎逼近0.8070连涨，瑞郎获SNB谨慎与干预背书；美伊冲突推升避险波动。瑞士贸易顺差或再助瑞郎，美国9月加息概率61%。期权跨式抓波动。

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