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Live Updates

20

Jul 2026

欧元/美元下行风险加剧，美元走强且欧洲央行决议临近

EUR/USD看跌压力升温：美元指数反弹至100.77，技术现看跌旗形，跌破1.1393或直指1.1300。ECB按兵不动与核心通胀黏性，加剧欧元下行风险。

20

Jul 2026

新西兰CPI料低于新西兰央行预测，利率掉期仍押注进一步加息，支撑纽元

新西兰次季CPI虽低于RBNZ预测但仍偏高，掉期押注年内再升息50点。鹰派周期或推升纽元走强，趁波动上升布局NZD多头与看涨期权。

20

Jul 2026

在中东紧张局势缓和与美国通胀降温拖累美元之际，澳元升破0.7000

澳元重返0.7000上方：中东降温、油价回落与美通胀走弱压制美元。短线偏多，可用短期看涨期权/期货；本周澳洲就业或放大波动，跨式应对。

20

Jul 2026

中东与乌克兰冲突推高油价、天然气与电力价格，供应忧虑加剧

中东协议破裂叠加俄乌冲突，油气电全线飙；布伦特逼近90、柴油裂解创纪录。库存低位支撑升水，交易者宜用看涨期权、跨期与领口对冲。

20

Jul 2026

卢比走软，外资持续流出、油价波动与美联储预期支撑美元/卢比走势

外资连卖压低卢比，USD/INR 逼近96.46并守20日EMA上方，或再试97.10；油价震荡受霍尔木兹风险影响。策略：买call/牛差、Nifty put对冲、原油铁秃鹰。

20

Jul 2026

美元涨势停滞助金价小幅走高；美国通胀降温，交易员关注是否突破4,050美元

金价因美元动能转弱小升，4,021美元整理；关键看4,050突破否？上看4,100/4,210，失守3,965/3,941恐回落。央行买盘与地缘仍支撑。

20

Jul 2026

英镑/日元在218.50附近企稳，英国领导层预期提振英镑，日本假期令交投清淡

英镑/日元守稳218.00上方、逼近219.63：英政局提振英镑，日本休市压低波动。多头瞄准220.45；跌破218警惕回踩216.40，期权可用短Call配保护Put。

20

Jul 2026

日本6月CPI料回升，助长押注日本央行更快加息并支撑日元

日本6月CPI料整体、核心齐升，通胀压力回来了！市场仅计入温和加息，但或低估BoJ正常化速度，日元走强机会浮现，可留意期权与STIR布局。

20

Jul 2026

ING：能源相关掉期利率支撑欧元，但警示欧元兑美元跌破1.14

油价90美元上方通常压欧元/美元跌破1.14，但短端欧元掉期走强暂撑汇价。ING仍看1.1380，并警惕欧央行意外加息；另看空欧元/挪威至10.95。

20

Jul 2026

欧元区5月建筑业产出增速放缓，强化市场对欧洲央行鸽派立场的预期

警惕：欧元区5月建筑业产出环比仅升0.4%，较4月0.6%放缓，动能转弱。高融资成本压制投资，或促ECB更鸽；可布局EUR/USD看跌与做多德债。

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