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28

Jul 2026

人工智能与半导体板块科技股抛售加剧，CDS成本上升且比特币走弱

AI与半导体股抛售升温，芯片指数回撤逾15%，科技龙头CDS走高警示风险外溢；比特币连跌动能转弱。事件密集期将至，考虑买入Put与VIX Call对冲。

28

Jul 2026

WTI延续跌势，随着美伊紧张局势缓和，霍尔木兹风险溢价消退

WTI续挫：美伊降温、阿曼倡议联合管理霍尔木兹削弱溢价，油价约77.9美元跌近4%。技术面跌破50/100日均线，关注74.78支撑与67-65回调区。

28

Jul 2026

美元指数从年内高位回落，收益率下滑且油价跌破80美元

美元指数连涨三天后回落至101.30，仍守200日均线；油价跌破80带动美债收益率下滑。FOMC料按兵不动、CPI偏软，关注101.98阻力与100.64支撑。

28

Jul 2026

欧元/美元小幅走高，美元走软抵消德银警示，关键阻力位在1.1416

美元因美国消费者信心走弱而回落，推升欧元兑美元至1.1400附近；技术面受1.1416压制、1.1380支撑。低流动季下，铁鹰收租并以期权多空对冲。

28

Jul 2026

德国商业银行下调黄金年终目标价至4500美元，实际收益率与美联储前景构成拖累

金价自1月高位回撤近30%！德商银行称实际收益率走高、Fed偏鹰压制，年终目标降至4,500美元；短线宜区间期权+认沽防守，长线押注2027降息后回升至5,000美元。

28

Jul 2026

布伦特油价下跌，美伊谈判降温战争风险，霍尔木兹与黑海运输动向仍受关注

布油急跌背后藏反转？美伊停火谈判升温压价，但关键仍看霍尔木兹/曼德海峡与黑海装运能否稳定恢复；建议别追空，改做多波动率。

28

Jul 2026

KOSPI大跌凸显与标普500相关性偏低，离散度与成分股波动率飙升

韩股暴跌、美股期货坚挺背后：相关性下滑压低表观VIX，却被离散度与科技股波动“揭底”。DSPX飙47、SKEW147，FOMC前市场仍紧张。

28

Jul 2026

英镑在1.3300附近停滞，美联储与英伦银行决议前美元走强

英镑/美元纽约早盘横盘1.33，数周最窄波幅；美联储与英央行决议前美元走强、避险升温。技术受压1.34下方，建议反弹1.33逢高做空，目标1.3250/1.32。

28

Jul 2026

英镑走软，交易员下调对英伦银行加息押注，英镑兑美元测试7月低位

英镑兑美元跌至7月初低位，因市场下调英央行加息预期、利差支撑减弱。周四会议将释最新预测；技术面偏空，关注1.3250支撑与1.3350阻力。

28

Jul 2026

金价回落至4020美元下方，美元走强及美联储加息预期升温令金市承压

亚洲股灾照样压垮黄金：金价跌至4,020美元，避险改投美元美债。美联储偏鹰、ETF撤资拖累，关注4,000支撑与周三决议、周四数据。

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