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Live Updates

3

Aug 2026

惠誉确认克罗地亚、捷克及罗马尼亚为“PMI 到期”；帕克什核电站停运恐冲击电网，福林走软

惠誉确认克罗地亚、捷克、罗马尼亚评级；CEE信心创高却暗藏变数：匈牙利核电停机打压福林，PMI与穆迪检视在即，期权与CDS对冲机会浮现。

3

Aug 2026

英镑回落，英伦银行维持利率不变，交易员关注1.3500阻力位

英镑兑美元跌至1.3470，英伦银行维持3.75%但鹰派分歧，9月加息概率腰斩。关注1.3500阻力与1.3389支撑：破位买put，站稳转call。

3

Aug 2026

美元/印尼盾在18,040附近走软；印尼数据提振印尼盾，日元相关动向拖累美元

印尼PMI重返扩张、通胀降至2.88%并现月度通缩，叠加美元受日元干预与风险偏好回升拖累，USD/IDR徘徊18,040；可考虑做空远期或买入看跌、价差策略。

3

Aug 2026

印度卢比随油价在美伊停火消息下走强；市场静待印度央行决议

停火压油价！卢比连涨三日，USD/INR 跌至95.15创三周低；原油挫6%提振 Nifty。聚焦周三 RBI 料按兵不动，看空美元兑卢比至94.78/94.15。

3

Aug 2026

在利率前景与央行需求支撑下，阿联酋金价小幅走高

阿联酋金价周一回升：每克480.42迪拉姆、托拉5603.27。利率预期转鸽+央行强买盘撑场，黄金或续涨；期权看涨与牛市价差值得关注。

3

Aug 2026

印度金价随全球金价走强而上扬，央行购金支撑需求

印度金价周一走强：每克升至12,454.56卢比、每托拉145,266.90；央行持续增持撑底。地缘风险与美元走弱下，期货多头、看涨期权与牛市价差成焦点。

3

Aug 2026

荷兰零售销售增长加快，提振欧元并降低市场对欧洲央行降息预期

荷兰6月零售增速跳升至4.3%引爆市场：消费韧性或令欧央行更难降息，欧元获支撑；AEX上行受限，债券收益率料走高，波动升温。

3

Aug 2026

随着霍尔木兹海峡重新开放缓解供应担忧，WTI下滑，市场焦点转向关键技术位

霍尔木兹重开消息引爆抛售，WTI亚洲盘跌7.6%至78.6美元，供应风险溢价退潮。关键看77.16支撑：破位或探72.53。策略偏短周期认沽，警惕反弹与地缘反转。

3

Aug 2026

澳元/美元守在0.7030上方，因中国PMI降温及日元干预打压美元

AUD/USD 跳空后回落仍守 0.7030；中国 PMI 仍扩张、RBA 偏鹰与美元走弱支撑澳元。留意日元干预及中东风险，期权布局抓波动。

3

Aug 2026

纽元/美元坚守在0.5900附近，中国PMI不及预期且市场对新西兰联储加息押注升温

纽元无惧中国PMI失色，NZD/USD守住0.5890–0.5900。市场押注RBNZ年内加息60bp、12个月100bp，关注美ISM与美伊谈判；可逢低做多并用期权跨式控波动。

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